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USA Today Sports Media Group
USA Today Sports Media Group
Sport
Cameron DaSilva

Rams only had 4.5% chance of beating 49ers late in fourth quarter

The Los Angeles Rams came into Week 3 as sizable underdogs against the San Francisco 49ers, especially being the home team. After their 41-10 loss to the Arizona Cardinals, few people were picking the Rams to take down the defending NFC champions.

Their pre-game odds weren’t great but their chances of winning late in the fourth quarter were even worse. According to ESPN, the Rams only had a 4.5% chance of beating the 49ers with 4:57 left in the game after Jordan Mason rushed 4 yards for a first down to Los Angeles’ 42-yard line.

At the time, the 49ers were up 24-17 and a field goal would’ve made it a two-score game. The Rams ultimately got the stop they needed and Jake Moody missed a 55-yarder, but they appeared to be on a losing path before the kick sailed wide of the uprights.

After Moody missed and Matthew Stafford hit Tutu Atwell for 50 yards, the 49ers still had a 67.4% chance to win and a 69.1% chance after the Rams tied it at 24.

The Rams were sure to remind everyone on social media just how unlikely their win was.

What a win and what a comeback led by Stafford. The Rams needed this game badly and their miraculous comeback might’ve saved their season altogether.

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