Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount contributes to various Racing Post publications including the Weekender and Racing & Football Outlook, plus the GG.co.uk website. Unearthing value bets via handy systems and statistics, he shares his latest thoughts with SportsCasting readers below.
Andrew heads to Market Rasen, Hereford and Dundalk for his three stats-based selections on Wednesday, November 27th…
MARKET RASEN 3.00
PERCY VEERING (system – Kim Bailey, handicap chasers, first run after a wind operation)
PERCY VEERING ended last season with a 36-length third of four at Leicester in March, but he’s had wind surgery since that disappointing effort. His two previous runs immediately following a wind operation resulted in a 12-1 second in handicap hurdle company at Market Rasen and a 10-1 reappearance win in an 18-runner handicap chase at this time last year. Kim Bailey has a 13 from 46 record with handicap chasers on their first start following a wind operation for a profit of £18.71 to a £1 level stake at SP and he looks good value at around the 7-1 mark to bounce back to form.
HEREFORD 3.10
BILLAMS LEGACY (system – Uttoxeter winners, next time out)
In the past couple of seasons Uttoxeter form has travelled well and, since the beginning of 2013, backing all the qualifiers would have found 82 winners from 273 bets (30% strike-rate) for a profit of £56.16 to a £1 level stake at SP. BILLAMS LAGACY bolted up in maiden hurdle at the Staffordshire venue in mid-July when we last saw him and the consistent sort has a good record when fresh.
DUNDALK 5.25
TUDOR MANOR (system – Patrick Flynn, last time out winners on the all-weather)
In-form Patrick Flynn has a good record on the all-weather with his last time out winners, scoring with 13 of the 47 qualifiers (27.7% strike-rate) for a profit of £11.63 to a £1 level stake at SP. TUDOR MANOR scored comfortably over course and distance 12 days and ago and the lightly raced eight-year-old remains open to improvement on only his fourth all-weather start.
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Related
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