Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount contributes to various Racing Post publications including the Weekender and Racing & Football Outlook, plus the GG.co.uk website. Unearthing value bets via handy systems and statistics, he shares his latest thoughts with SportsCasting readers below.
Andrew heads to Uttoxeter and the evening all-weather meeting at Southwell for his two stats-based picks on Tuesday, December 10th…
UTTOXETER 12.12
ACCIDENTAL LEGEND (system – Uttoxeter winners, next time out)
Uttoxeter tends to attract competitive fields and form from the Staffordshire venue has held up win recent years. Since the beginning of 2023, backing all Uttoxeter winners on their next start would have found 82 winners from 279 bets (29.4% strike-rate) for a profit of £50.16 to a £1 level stake at SP (expected winners = 64.82, A/E = 1.26). Those who returned to Uttoxeter for their follow-up bid were 19 from 45 (42.2%) for a profit of £22.95. ACCIDENTAL LEGEND won well over course and distance on heavy ground in April when we last saw him and his full record here reads 111 (3-3).
SOUTHWELL 5.30
FAST FRED (system – Clifford Lee, handicaps, last time out winners)
Jockey Clifford Lee has a fine record in handicaps when riding a last time out winner, scoring on 71 of the 313 qualifiers (22.7% strike-rate) for a profit of £88.20 to a £1 level stake at SP (expected winners = 55.99, A/E = 1.27). FAST FRED arrives here on a hat-trick and is likely to prove hard to beat.
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Related
- There is more from Andrew Mount every day on SportsCasting
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