Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount contributes to various Racing Post publications including the Weekender and Racing & Football Outlook, plus the GG.co.uk website. Unearthing value bets via handy systems and statistics, he shares his latest thoughts with SportsCasting readers below.
Andrew had a winner and an 18-1 place on Friday and heads to Doncaster and Newbury for his two stats-based selections on Saturday, November 30th…
DONCASTER 11.42
CAMPAIGN TRAIL (system – Kim Bailey early-season break-returners)
Kim Bailey has a fine recent record with horses returning from a break of 150 days or longer in the early months of the peak jumps season (October to December), scoring with 34 of the 134 qualifiers (25.4% strike-rate) since 2021 for a profit of £51.00 to a £1 level stake at SP (expected winners = 22.15, A/E = 1.53). CAMPAIGN TRAIL looks a very interesting recruit to hurdles, having recorded form figures on the Flat for Ralph Beckett, since a gelding operation, of 221161 (3-6), with the wins on ground ranging from good through to heavy. He’s been off the track for 409 days but that’s unlikely to be an issue on his stable debut and his yard had a winner here yesterday. The four-year-old has also had a wind operation since we last saw him and can get the better of odds-on favourite No Questions Asked who might find this race coming too soon after his Carlisle reappearance maiden hurdle win just 19 days ago.
NEWBURY 12.40
DEMNAT (system – Venetia Williams handicap chasers in November)
In-form Venetia Williams has a cracking record with her handicap chasers in the month of November, saddling 132 winners from 651 runners (20.3% strike-rate) this century (prior to yesterday’s racing) for a profit of £214.04 to a £1 level stake at SP. DEMNAT was a winner at Ludlow on his return from a mammoth absence (961 days) in February and first time out could be when to catch him.
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Related
- There is more from Andrew Mount every day on SportsCasting
- Check out more horse racing news on the site with regular updates
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