Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount contributes to various Racing Post publications including the Weekender and Racing & Football Outlook, plus the GG.co.uk website. Unearthing value bets via handy systems and statistics, he shares his latest thoughts with SportsCasting readers below.
Andrew found 7-4 Carlisle winner SLUGGER on Sunday and kicks off the new week with two stats-based selections on Monday, November 4th…
HEREFORD 2.40
GETBAZOUTOFHERE (system – Gentlewave, chasers)
Simply backing all chase progeny of the sire Gentlewave would have found 30 winners from 152 bets (19.7% strike-rate) for a profit of £27.60 to £1 level stake at SP (expected winners = 21.21, A/E = 1.41). GETBAZOUTOFHERE appreciate the return to good ground when finally breaking her duck over course and distance last May and might be able to defy a 175-day absence in a weak contest.
SOUTHWELL 5.15
BEACHBOROUGH GIRL (system – New Bay 2yos, second career start)
Backing New Bay juveniles on their second start would have hit 32 winners from 134 bets for a lovely profit of £91.69 to a £1 level stake at SP (expected winners = 23.64, A/E = 1.35). BEACHBOROUGH GIRL shaped with promise on last month’s debut at Yarmouth, finishing an 80-1 fifth of nine, and, as a half-sister to four-time all-weather winner Notre Belle Bete, there’s hope in her pedigree that the switch of surface will suit. It’s always possible that we won’t see the best of her until handicapping but she’s worth a small each-way dabble at a big price (33-1 best at the time of writing).
Check out the best horse racing betting sites in the UK right now.
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Over at online bookie BetUK, there’s a neat new customer offer where punters can sign up and get £30 in free bets after betting £10. Here are all the details:
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Related
- There is more from Andrew Mount every day on SportsCasting
- Check out more horse racing news on the site with regular updates
- See Andy Newton’s ‘Lay Of The Day’ daily horse racing feature
