Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount contributes to various Racing Post publications including the Weekender and Racing & Football Outlook, plus the GG.co.uk website. Unearthing handy systems and statistics, he shares his latest thoughts with SportsCasting readers below.
Andrew found two winners in his Saturday preview and gets his teeth into two races at Kelso and Doncaster on Sunday, December 29th…
DONCASTER 2.12
MOFASA (system – Paul Nicholls, first-time cheekpieces, finished fourth or worse last time out)
MOFASA reportedly “never travelled” when pulled up (15-2) in the Badger Beer at Wincanton on last month’s reappearance and might do better now fitted with first-time cheekpieces. Paul Nicholls does well with this headgear on horses who finished fourth or worse last time out, scoring with 38 of the 158 qualifiers since 2010 (24.1%) for a profit of £71.01 to a £1 level stake at SP (expected winners = 23.98, A/E = 1.58).
KELSO 2.38
THEIRSHEGOES (system – Sandy Thomson winter runners)
Since 2012, simply backing all Sandy Thomson-trained runners in the November to February period would have found 135 winners from 758 bets (17.8% strike-rate) for a profit of £199.85 to a £1 level stake at SP (expected winners = 118.38, A/E = 1.14). THEIRSHEGOES, a well-backed 3-1 scorer on this angle at Musselburgh last month, didn’t have the race run to suit when third of five at the same venue next time and can bounce back.
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