Three years ago, Russian troops entered Ukraine with the expectation of a swift victory, but what ensued was Europe's largest conflict since World War II. The invasion led to tens of thousands of casualties, widespread destruction of cities, and millions of Ukrainians becoming refugees. Russia found itself isolated from the West as a result.
Recent talks between senior Russian and U.S. officials have set the stage for a potential summit meeting, with President Putin inching closer to solidifying Moscow's control over about a fifth of Ukraine's territory and keeping it out of NATO.
President Trump's shift in U.S. policy towards Russia, marked by a willingness to work closely with Putin to end the war, has raised eyebrows. Trump's dismissal of Ukraine's NATO aspirations and his suggestion that Ukraine could be Russian someday have further complicated the situation.
The conflict has seen fluctuating fortunes, with Russian forces initially making significant advances before facing setbacks in the face of Ukrainian resistance. However, Russia regained momentum in 2023, making slow but persistent gains along the front.
As peace talks loom, Ukraine's demands for full withdrawal of Russian forces from occupied areas and assurances of Western security guarantees clash with Putin's objectives of maintaining influence over Ukraine and enforcing the use of the Russian language.
The prospect of a ceasefire remains uncertain, with questions looming over who would monitor such an agreement. While various proposals have been floated, including the involvement of European troops, Russia's stance against NATO member participation complicates matters.
Putin's strategic patience suggests that negotiations may not be a priority for Moscow, as the erosion of Western unity and diminishing support for Ukraine could play into Russia's hands in the long run.
