A recent national poll conducted by Monmouth University indicates that the guilty verdicts against former President Trump in his recent criminal trial are unlikely to have a significant impact on his potential 2024 election rematch with President Biden. The survey also reveals that more voters agree than disagree with Trump's conviction on 34 felony counts, marking the first trial of a former or current president in the nation's history.
However, a majority of those surveyed believe that the charges against Trump were politically motivated. Similarly, nearly half of the respondents expressed skepticism about the trial of Hunter Biden, the president's son, who was recently convicted on three counts related to his possession of a revolver while using illegal drugs in 2018.
Trump's conviction on all 34 felony counts of falsifying business records, particularly in relation to payments made to Stormy Daniels during the 2016 election, was a focal point of the trial. Prosecutors argued that these actions constituted illegal attempts to influence the election.
Despite the trial outcomes, the Monmouth poll suggests that the impact on the upcoming presidential election is minimal, as both candidates continue to garner similar levels of support. Voter enthusiasm for the potential rematch has increased among both Republicans and Democrats.
According to the survey, approximately 40% of registered voters are inclined to vote for President Biden, while a similar percentage express support for former President Trump. Additionally, nearly half of the respondents stated that they definitely will not vote for either candidate.
These findings have remained relatively stable since last fall, based on previous Monmouth national polling data. While Trump has maintained a slight polling advantage over Biden in key battleground states, Biden holds a fundraising edge and leads in ground game operations in these crucial states.
