A recent poll conducted from Oct. 31 to Nov. 2 among 1,297 likely voters reveals Vice President Kamala Harris holding a four-point lead over former President Trump nationally. Harris garnered 51% of the vote compared to Trump's 47%, with a margin of error of 3.5 percentage points.
The survey highlights an interesting trend in the gender gap between the two candidates. While Trump previously led among men by 57% to 41%, his lead has now narrowed to 51-47%. On the other hand, Harris, who led among women voters 58% to 40% a month ago, now faces a narrower gap of 55-44%.
Independent voters seem to favor Trump, with 51% supporting him compared to 46% for Harris. Among likely voters who have already cast their ballots, Harris received 56% support, while Trump captured 53% among those yet to vote.
When it comes to voter priorities, 31% listed preserving democracy as their top issue, followed by inflation at 25%, immigration at 19%, abortion at 10%, and health care at 7%.
Interestingly, opinions differ on whether the candidates are making genuine proposals or just seeking votes. While voters are divided on Harris, with 49% believing she intends to carry out her proposals, Trump seems to have more trust, as 55% think he will follow through on his proposals.
Despite Harris leading in the poll, voters' perceptions of the election outcome differ. 49% believe Trump will win, while 46% think Harris will emerge victorious.
