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Sports Illustrated
Sports Illustrated
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Jennifer Piacenti

On the Mend: Aaron Rodgers Fantasy Outlook and Injury Update

Though not yet officially cleared for full contact, Aaron Rodgers had been participating in Jets OTAs with no restrictions, though he missed Jets mandatory minicamp today with an unexcused absence.

After tearing his Achilles in just his fourth offensive snap for the Jets last season, New York fans hope to get the quarterback play they traded for in 2023. 

Rodgers, now 40 years old, spent all of 2023 rehabbing from the injury to his right Achilles. The good news for Rodgers is the injury occurred to his lead/plant food, not his power/drive foot. If he loses any velocity this season, it is just as likely due to age as to injury. 

Aaron Rodgers already had a late-career comeback with the Packers under coach Matt LaFleur and OC Nathaniel Hackett, winning consecutive NFL MVP awards in the 2020 and 2021 seasons.  Then, in 2022, after losing WR Davante Adams to the Raiders and Hackett to the Broncos, Rodgers showed significant regression, throwing a career-high 12 interceptions and passing for 26 touchdowns and a career-low 217 passing yards per game.  

The table has been set for Rodgers in New York as he reunites with Hackett, who is also looking for a bounce-back season. Rodgers will have a clear WR1 in Garrett Wilson, who was able to amass more than 1,000 receiving yards with inconsistent quarterback play from some combination of Zach Wilson, Trevor Semien, and Tim Boyle in 2023. Wilson led the league with a 45.8% air yards share in 2023, and if he remains Rodgers's favorite target, the ceiling is tremendous.  

Rodgers also will have the threat of a potent run game led by Breece Hall, which should open up the passing game even more for the veteran passer. However, it's worth noting that the Jets' stellar defense may reduce the number of shootouts for Gang Green. 

It's hard to bet on an aging quarterback who just took a year off for injury at age 40. But a four-time MVP with much to prove may be worth the risk. Rodgers is best left on waivers in one-quarterback leagues, but I'll grab him late for my Superflex bye weeks.

JENNIFER PIACENTI

In addition to being a fantasy sports and betting analyst at Sports Illustrated, Jennifer is a radio host for Sirius XM Fantasy Sports Radio, and she hosts her own podcast, “Waiver Wired” on the Extra Points podcast network. Jennifer has been nominated for multiple FSWA awards for her NFL DFS video series. She’s a Scott Fish Bowl Finalist, and she finished third overall in the 2021 NFFC post-season mini. Jennifer is also a featured expert on MLB Network’s “Bettor’s Eye,” and a member of the esteemed Tout Wars, the fantasy baseball battle of the experts.

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