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Investors Business Daily
Investors Business Daily
Business
MATTHEW GALGANI

Is Nvidia Overheated? Check This Telltale Line

As the Nasdaq and S&P 500 tease record highs, Magnificent Seven stocks Nvidia and Meta Platforms lead a powerhouse group of names on IBD Leaderboard. And to further highlight demand for Meta, Nvidia stock and these other tech titans, 10 out of the 13 IBD Leaderboard members also just made this month's list of new buys by the best mutual funds.

Other top growth stocks on both lists include Uber Technologies, ELF Beauty, Shopify, Zscaler and ServiceNow.

A raging bull market and seemingly unceasing demand for companies tapping artificial intelligence continue to drive these and other stocks. But when the market indexes are soaring, investors should remain grounded, armed with time-tested rules for when to sell stocks to lock in profits.

One key for managing risk in a powerful uptrend is to monitor a stock in relation to its 50-day moving average. And don't forget the all-important earnings season, with Shopify due Tuesday and Nvidia set to report Feb. 21.

Yes, Nvidia Is One. But These Aren't The Mag 7 You Expect.

How High Is Too High? Meta, Nvidia Stock And Their 50-Day Lines

In a healthy market, leading stocks will trade solidly above their 10-week and 50-day lines. Plus, those benchmarks will be in an upward trend. Currently, that is certainly the case for Meta stock, ServiceNow, Shopify, Nvidia and the other IBD Leaderboard names.

But a stock can climb too far above its 50-day line. That signals it may be due for a pullback or a sideways move.

For example, having blasted past the 700 mark, Nvidia now trades a more than 30% above its 50-day line. Meta stock has climbed around 26% above that benchmark. Ahead of earnings Shopify stands more than 14% above its 50-day. Meanwhile, even after closing lower for two days, Uber still stands over 9% above that key moving average.

Generally speaking, when a stock climbs more than 5% above its 50-day line, the chances of a pullback begin to increase. By no means an automatic sell signal, it is a reminder to monitor the stock to see if it and indexes may be overheating.

It can be healthy for Nvidia stock, Uber, Meta and others to mildly pull back or trade sideways for a while. That helps them digest their big gains and avoid getting too frothy.

Managing Risk By Locking In Some Gains

Investing in stocks is rarely an all-or-nothing game. Investors can manage risk by taking a gradual approach to both buying stocks and determining when to sell.

One guideline for locking in some gains on the way up in big winners like Nvidia stock and others is to take some profits when shares rise 20% to 25% above the initial buy point. This strategy can be applied as a stock makes a major run over an extended period of time.

For example, while maintaining a position in big movers like Meta, Uber and Nvidia stock, investors can lock in partial profits. This allows investors to safeguard recent profits while still standing to benefit from a continued climb.

Follow Matthew Galgani on X (formerly Twitter) at @IBD_MGalgani.

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