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Kritika Sarmah

NRG Energy Stock: Is NRG Outperforming the Utilities Sector?

Houston, Texas-based NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG) is a top integrated power company in the U.S. Valued at a market cap of $18.3 billion, NRG is a key player in the energy sector, offering electricity generation, energy retail services, and sustainable energy solutions.

Companies valued at $10 billion or more are typically classified as “large-cap” stocks, and NRG Energy, Inc. is a prime example. Its diverse energy portfolio, combining traditional electricity generation with renewable and sustainable energy solutions, bolsters its market leadership. 

NRG’s focus on innovation and customer-centric offerings, including energy efficiency and sustainability solutions, positions it well in a transitioning energy landscape. 

NRG shares are trading 12.3% below their 52-week high of $103.14, which they hit recently on Nov. 29. Also, the stock has soared 3.9% over the past three months, outperforming the Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLU), which has gained 4.6% over the same time frame.

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In the longer term, NRG is up 75% on a YTD basis, and the shares have gained 83.2% over the past 52 weeks. XLU has gained 20.7% in 2024 and 22.7% over the past year.

Over the past year, NRG has consistently traded above its 200-day moving average, though it has recently fallen below its 50-day moving average.

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Adding to the robust price momentum over the past year, NRG shares surged over 10%  on Nov. 26, topping the S&P 500 gainers, following an upgrade by Jefferies to a "Buy" rating from "Hold" and a raised price target of $113.

However, NRG Energy's shares declined marginally following its Q3 earnings results announced on Nov. 8. Its revenue of $7.22 billion dipped 9.1% year over year, while the company’s adjusted EPS of $1.85 fell short of the $2.05 consensus, though it marked a 14.2% year-over-year increase. On the bright side, NRG raised its 2024 adjusted EBITDA guidance to $3.66 billion to $3.81 billion range, up $130 million due to a recasting of customer acquisition costs.

In the competitive utility sector, top rival AES Corporation (AES) has underperformed NRG, with a 29.2% plunge over the 52 weeks.

Given NRG's recent outperformance compared to the broader utility sector, analysts are moderately optimistic about its prospects. The stock has a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy" from nine analysts in coverage. The mean price target is $105.25, suggesting a premium of 16.4% to its current levels.

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