Allan Lichtman - an American historian and pollster - has stood by his prediction about who will win the US election next month.
Dubbed the “Nostradamus” of polling, Lichtman has been forecasting the results of the presidential election since the 80s and claims to have predicted all but one accurately, which was George W Bush’s 2000 win.
The academic’s forecasting method - known as “The Keys to the White House” - was developed alongside a Russian academic, Vladimir Keilis-Borok. It uses a 13-point checklist that applies true or false statements to a number of factors, including the health of the country’s economy, scandals during the previous administration’s tenure and the candidates’ charisma.
“My predictions have stood the test of time, my indicators have always been right,” he said on his YouTube channel. “The keys are very objective and quantitative.”
In an interview with NewsNation, Lichtman revealed that he stands by his prediction that Kamala Harris will win the 2024 election, but says this election’s prediction has been met with a wave of criticism.
He said: “My predictions are totally non-partisan. I predicted the two most conservative presidents of our time, Ronald Reagan and Donald Trump, along with liberals like Barack Obama. I’ve been doing this for 42 years and I’m constantly getting criticism.
“I have never experienced anything close to the hate that has been reaped upon me this time. I’ve been getting feedback that is scurrilous, vulgar, violent, threatening, and even beyond that, the safety and security of my family has been compromised.”
According to his method, eight of the thirteen points on the checklist favoured Ms Harris, suggesting the current Vice President will win the election on November 5.
