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Nevada Poll Shows Tight Race Between Harris And Trump

This combination photo shows Vice President Kamala Harris, left, at the White House in Washington, July 22, 2024, and Republican presidential candidate former President Donald Trump at an event July 2

With just two weeks left until Election Day on November 5, a recent poll conducted in the swing state of Nevada has revealed a neck-and-neck competition between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Trump.

The survey, conducted by a reliable source, indicates that Trump holds a slight edge over Harris with a 49%-47% lead in a head-to-head matchup for Nevada's six electoral votes. In a broader ballot including third-party candidates, Trump maintains a narrow 47%-46% lead over Harris.

Close competition for Nevada's six electoral votes.
Trump leads Harris by a slight margin in Nevada poll.
Trump aims to be first GOP nominee to carry Nevada since 2004.

This latest poll reflects a trend of close races in Nevada, with both candidates vying for the state's crucial electoral votes. Trump is aiming to become the first GOP nominee to carry Nevada since President George W. Bush in 2004, after narrowly losing the state in both the 2016 and 2020 elections.

The survey also highlights Trump's advantage among independent voters and a significant gender gap, with Trump leading among men by 18 points while Harris leads among women by 15 points.

Recent polls suggest a shift in Latino voter support towards Trump, with the former president holding a slight edge in this demographic. However, the survey notes a minimal educational divide, with Harris leading among college-educated voters and Trump among those without degrees.

Notably, Trump leads among older voters, emphasizing the importance of appealing to this demographic in the upcoming election. The survey underscores the significance of addressing issues such as Social Security, family caregiving, and affordability for older voters in Nevada.

Nevada, a key swing state, played a crucial role in determining the outcome of the 2020 election and is expected to be pivotal in the 2024 White House race between Harris and Trump. Additionally, the state is home to a closely watched Senate race, with Democratic Sen. Jacky Rosen currently holding a five-point lead over Republican challenger Sam Brown.

The poll, conducted by a bipartisan team, surveyed 1,368 likely voters in Nevada and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points. As the election approaches, both campaigns are intensifying their efforts to secure support in this closely contested battleground state.

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