Welcome to Bet For The Win’s Nightly NBA Player Props. Throughout the 2022-23 season, we look at some of the night’s biggest games and come up with bets to make as we predict how players might perform.
It’s simple — if we like where the player’s line is set, we take the over, otherwise, we take the under.
Fresh off of the holiday weekend, the NBA follows up the nine-game Martin Luther King Day slate with four games on Tuesday’s docket.
With each of the four matchups looking like it’ll be a good one, we decided to find the night’s best player props to bet on.
All odds via BetMGM.
Kawhi Leonard - Over 25.5 Points
The Clippers haven’t hit their stride yet and injuries have contributed to much of their losing. But lost in all of the discourse is that Kawhi Leonard has stayed healthy recently and is returning to form. He’s averaging 29.0 points per game over his past four outings, scoring 30 points or more points in two of them.
Combine Kawhi’s recent play with the fact he scored 28 points against Philly less than a month ago and you’ll understand why taking the over on his scoring props this Tuesday night is the right move.
James Harden - Over 10.5 Assists
James Harden ALWAYS cooks the Clippers. He’s a heavy pick-and-roll player and the Clippers never have a feel for how to defend it when Harden presents the ability to score after the defenders switch, or pick apart the drop coverage. I don’t expect any of that to change, and for someone who’s dropped 21, 13, 15 and 14 dimes in four of his last seven meetings against the Clippers, I would expect over 10.5 assists to come relatively easily.
Gary Trent Jr. - Over 2.5 3-Pointers Made
Trent Jr.’s first couple of months of the season were rough, but now he’s looking like the player and the shooter that Toronto brought him in to be. He’s making 3.0 threes per game on 36.9 percent from deep during January after averaging 2.6 makes per game in December while shooting it at 40.3 percent.
On Tuesday, he’ll make more than 2.5 threes for the sixth time this month. Take the over.
Damian Lillard - Over 30.5 Points
Don’t look now, but Damian Lillard is back. If you don’t believe in his 28.8 points per game on the season, just take a look at what he’s done over the past 10 days or so. He’s got a 50-piece while averaging 39.0 points over the last four games. Dame is on a roll and I don’t think the Nuggets’ below-average defense will slow him down on Tuesday night.