Mexico's ruling Morena party, led by President Andrés Manuel López Obrador, is on the brink of securing a significant two-thirds majority in both houses of Congress. This development comes after two opposition senators defected to Morena, bringing them closer to achieving the desired majority.
The defections from the now-defunct Democratic Revolution Party (PRD) have bolstered Morena's position, with the party now just one vote away from a similar majority in the Senate. This majority would enable Morena to push through contentious changes to the Constitution, including a proposal to mandate the election of all judges.
Critics argue that such changes could further concentrate power in the presidency, compromise judicial independence, and make the judiciary susceptible to external influences, particularly from those funding election campaigns. Concerns have been raised by various quarters, including the U.S. ambassador to Mexico, regarding the potential implications of these proposed reforms.
President-elect Claudia Sheinbaum confirmed the defection of two opposition senators to Morena, a move that has sparked backlash from their former allies who labeled them as traitors. The decision to switch parties has been met with criticism, especially considering the senators' prior commitments to remain loyal to their original party.
Despite hopes for a more collaborative approach under Sheinbaum's leadership, the appointment of Senator Gerardo Fernández Noroña as the Senate leader has raised eyebrows. Known for his confrontational style and refusal to adhere to COVID-19 safety protocols, Fernández Noroña's selection has added to the concerns surrounding Morena's growing influence.
With the likelihood of securing a two-thirds majority in the lower house and the ability to sway additional senators, Morena is poised to advance its agenda of constitutional changes. These changes would also require approval from state legislatures, where Morena and its allies hold significant sway.
The proposed judicial reforms have drawn criticism from the U.S., with Ambassador Ken Salazar warning of potential risks to Mexico's democracy and bilateral relations. The escalating tensions between the outgoing administration and the U.S. Embassy underscore the broader implications of Mexico's evolving political landscape.