Get all your news in one place.
100’s of premium titles.
One app.
Start reading
The Independent UK
The Independent UK
Becky Ashton

Mexican Grand Prix prediction and F1 betting tips: Ferrari to dominate in Mexico

Mexican Grand Prix betting tips

Ferrari played the role of spoilers at last weekend’s United States Grand Prix as they hampered hopes of an epic conclusion to the F1 title battle and bettors shouldn’t be surprised if they do something similar at the Mexican Grand Prix.

Charles Leclerc led home Carlos Sainz in a Ferrari one-two in Austin with Max Verstappen filling the other place on the podium to extend his lead in the Drivers’ Championship.

Verstappen’s title rival Lando Norris had initially claimed third place, only to be handed a five-second penalty for leaving the track while overtaking Verstappen that dropped him to fourth.

Norris is now 57 points adrift in the title race with only 146 available so he ideally needs to win the race in Mexico to keep his hopes of securing his first title alive and betting sites make him the 11/4 joint-favourite to win at the Autodromo Hermanos Rodriguez, alongside Leclerc.

Mexican Grand Prix weekend timetable

Friday and Saturday times BST, Sunday time GMT

Friday

Practice 1: 7.30pm-8.30pm

Practice 2: 11pm-12am

Saturday

Practice 3: 6.30pm-7.30pm

Qualifying: 10pm-11pm

Sunday

Race: 8pm

*Every session will be available to watch on Sky Sports F1*

Verstappen is a 3/1 chance with F1 betting sites to win the Mexican Grand Prix for the fourth time in a row and sixth overall. He certainly knows the track better than most but whether his Red Bull has the pace to beat Ferrari or McLaren remains to be seen.

So, it seems Norris’ biggest competition in this one will again come from Leclerc and his Ferrari teammate Sainz after their one-two in Texas put them in contention for the Constructors’ Championship.

They are now just eight points behind Red Bull and 48 behind leaders McLaren, so it’s all to play for this weekend, with both championships still wide open.

Ferrari have won the Constructors’ title a record 16 times in total, but it’s been 16 years since they were last celebrating and the pressure is on the Scuderia to deliver some silverware after a barren run.

The Italian’s track record in Mexico isn’t the best with Alain Prost the last Ferrari driver to win this race in 1990. However, they were set up for success last year when Leclerc and Sainz locked out the front row of the grid in qualifying, only for Leclerc to finish third after contact early in the race, one place ahead of Sainz.

With every point crucial at this stage, plenty of teams will also be gunning for the extra one that comes with setting the fastest lap of the race. Ferrari have set the fastest lap three times this season and the race win/fastest lap double pays 6/1 on certain betting apps, including bet365.

Mexican Grand Prix prediction: Ferrari to win the race and set the fastest lap – 6/1 Bet365

Mexican Grand Prix free bets

Bettors looking to have a wager on this weekend’s action in Mexico can get £30 in free bets to bet on Formula 1 with the latest William Hill sign up offer.

This offer is only available to new customers who open an account with William Hill and deposit a minimum of £10 using a debit card. Next, wager £10 or more at odds of 1/2 or greater on any event on the sportsbook.

When the qualifying bet has settled, William Hill will credit punters with £30 in free bets that can be spent on any sport, including F1.

Responsible gambling

If you are planning to bet on the Mexican Grand Prix or any other event this weekend, remember to gamble responsibly.

When gambling, never bet more than you can afford to lose. Gambling is never a sure way to make money, no matter how knowledgeable you are about sport. Sports betting can be addictive too, so please take steps to remain in control of your budget.

Gambling sites offer plenty of responsible gambling tools, such as deposit limits, loss limits, self-exclusion and time-outs to help you stay in control.

Should you wish to seek help for gambling-related issues, there are several charities and healthcare providers who offer support and information:

We may earn commission from some of the links in this article, but we never allow this to influence our content. This revenue helps to fund journalism across The Independent.

Sign up to read this article
Read news from 100’s of titles, curated specifically for you.
Already a member? Sign in here
Related Stories
Top stories on inkl right now
Our Picks
Fourteen days free
Download the app
One app. One membership.
100+ trusted global sources.