Martin Heinrich seems to be cruising toward holding his New Mexico Senate seat, with polls showing him with a solid lead over opponent Nella Domenici two weeks from the elections.
The latest survey, conducted by Research & Polling and the Albuquerque Journal between October 10 and 18 among 1,024 likely voters, shows the incumbent with a double-digit advantage, same as it has been since at least August. Concretely, it shows him with 51% of the support, compared to Domenici's 40%.
It is a slightly smaller lead than the two previous surveys, which showed him ahead by 13 and 12 percentage points, respectively, but still comfortably above the margin of error. The Cook Political Report, a nonpartisan forecaster, considers the race a "Solid Democrat" one, all but guaranteeing Heinrich will keep the seat he has been holding for over a decade now.
Heinrich is considered to be a more moderate left of center Democrat, and he first took office in 2013. In 2018, Heinrich won reelection with about 54% of the vote in a three-way race against Republican Mick Rich and Libertarian candidate and former New Mexico Gov. Gary Johnson.
Prior to his Senate tenure, he joined the AmeriCorps, worked as a mechanical engineer, managed nonprofits and founded a public affairs consulting firm.
He also was appointed in 2006 to be New Mexico's Natural Resources Trustee, spent four years on the Albuquerque City Council, and represented New Mexico's 1st Congressional District in the U.S. House from 2009 to 2013.
Domenici, on the other hand, has not previously held a public office, spending the majority of her career in the finance industry, working for large companies like Bridgewater Associates, Citadel and Credit Suisse First Boston. She also has a J.D. from Georgetown University Law Center, and a graduate degree from the Harvard Business School.
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