A MAJORITY of people in Wales would vote for independence if the country could rejoin the European Union, a poll has found.
YesCymru commissioned the survey ahead of a March for Independence in Barry at the end of the month.
Conducted by Redfield & Wilton Strategies, the poll of 1000 adults aged 18 and over in Wales found that 51% of voters would vote Yes on independence in the context of rejoining the EU.
This is the first time a majority has supported Welsh independence in polling, marking a “significant moment for the movement”, the campaign group said.
Polling was conducted between March 24 and 27 2025.
The question put to respondents read: “Imagine a scenario where Wales could rejoin the European Union if it became an independent country.
“If a referendum was then held on Wales becoming an independent country and this was the question, how would you vote? Should Wales be an independent country?”
The results showed that support was strongest among Plaid Cymru 2024 voters (91%), 25-34-year-olds (82%), Labour 2024 voters (68%), and non-voters in the 2024 General Election (63%).
YesCymru chair Phyl Griffiths said: “We commissioned this poll to better understand how people in Wales view the future, and to provide hard evidence that independence is no longer a fringe idea.
It comes after the same poll found that 41% of decided voters would vote Yes if a referendum on Welsh independence was held tomorrow. The group said this is one of the highest levels of support for Welsh independence ever recorded.
The polling was conducted ahead of the March for Independence in Barry on April 26, jointly organised by YesCymru and AUOBCymru.
In other signs of growing support for Welsh independence, Plaid Cymru topped a Senedd poll in December, beating Labour for the first time since 2010.
