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HARRISON MILLER

Lockheed Martin Rises In Buy Zone On Beat-And-Raise Report, Kicking Off Defense Earnings

Lockheed Martin on Tuesday beat earnings estimates and hiked its guidance, leading a big week of results for defense manufacturers. General Dynamics reports Wednesday morning, followed by RTX and Northrop Grumman early Thursday. L3Harris is on tap early Friday.

Lockheed Martin

Lockheed Martin reported a 3.3% increase in earnings to $6.85 per share, beating FactSet expectations of a 4% decline. Adjusted earnings rose 5.6% to $7.11 per share. Net sales increased 9% to $18.1 billion, which easily cleared estimates for $17.05 billion in revenue.

Lockheed said the F-35 remains a top priority and it recently delivered its first jet following the Technology Refresh 3 update. The company expects to meet its 2024 delivery forecast of 75 to 110 F-35 jets.

Lockheed also hiked its outlook on the results. The defense contractor now expects 2024 net sales to range from $70.5 billion to $71.5 billion, compared to its previous forecast of $68.5 billion to $70 billion in sales. Lockheed Martin lifted its earnings guidance to range from $26.10 to $26.60 per share, up from its prior outlook of $25.65 to $26.35 per share.

Meanwhile, Lockheed F-35 jet deliveries to the U.S. have resumed  following a monthslong halt due to software delays, Reuters reported on Saturday. Lockheed and its suppliers have been upgrading the hardware and software for the F-35s to improve displays and processing power, as part of the Technology Refresh 3 (TR-3) program. Although the updated hardware has been installed, the software is lagging, Secretary of the Air Force Frank Kendall told Reuters. Although the jets do not have the required functionality, they are far enough along in the upgrades for the military to accept delivery, Kendall said.

Senior officials confirmed the Pentagon will continue to withhold some final payments for each jet until the enhancements are ready. Specific amounts were not disclosed.

So far, about $7 million of the final $100 million payment for each fighter has been withheld.

Elsewhere, Lockheed Martin believes it could potentially attract orders for 300 F-16 jets, with prospective customers for new-build aircraft from the Philippines, Thailand and Turkey, FlightGlobal reported Saturday. Turkey has expressed interest in purchasing 40 new-build F-16 jets and upgrading 79 of its in-service F-16s. Estimates from the U.S. Defense Security Cooperation Agency forecast the deal could be worth around $23 billion.

Lockheed Martin stock rose 2% to about 484 early Tuesday.

LMT stock is rising just above a still-valid 473.54 flat base buy point first cleared in early June and retaken last week. Investors could use recent highs above 475 as an alternate entry.

Lockheed Martin shares rose 4.5% in 2024 as of July 22.

General Dynamics

Analysts forecast General Dynamics will report a 21.5% increase in earnings to $3.28 per share, with revenue up 13% to $11.46 billion. Both would mark three straight quarters of accelerating growth.

General Dynamics stock is trading just below its 50-day line. Investors could use resistance above 302 as a potential buy point.

GD stock advanced 11% so far this year.

RTX

RTX earnings are expected to tick up 1 cent to $1.30 per share adjusted while revenue increases 5.3% to $19.29 billion.

Elsewhere, RTX on Monday announced it reached a memorandum of understanding to supply engines for the largest aircraft order in Philippine aviation history. Airline Cebu Pacific agreed to purchase up to 152 A321neo aircraft from Airbus for an estimated $24 billion. RTX's Pratt & Whitney business will supply GTF engines to power the aircraft.

The agreement covers firm orders for up to 102 A321neo single-aisle aircraft, as well as purchase rights for 50 additional jets in the A320neo family.

RTX stock is trading below a 108.65 buy point for a six-week flat base.

Shares ticked almost 1% higher Monday following the Cebu Pacific news.

Still, RTX is trading below its 50-day moving average. A strong move above the 50-day line would break a trendline and clear a short-term high of 105.46.

RTX stock jumped 23% in 2024.

Northrop Grumman

FactSet estimates an 11% Northrop Grumman earnings increase to $5.93 per share. Analysts predict revenue grows 4.6% to $10.02 billion.

BTIG initiated coverage of Northrop Grumman in late June, saying it expects the company to be one of the fastest-growing defense contractors through the remainder of the decade. The firm cited Northrop's exposure to high-growth end markets, such as space, as well as its involvement with multiple programs critical to national security as key drivers. Northrop also has strong free cash flow, which it largely returns to shareholders through buybacks and dividends, making it the most attractive long-term defense name, BTIG said.

BTIG has a buy rating and a 565 price target on Northrop Grumman stock.

NOC stock is trading in the bottom half of a flat base with a 490.60 buy point. However, Northrop is trading below its 50-day moving average and 200-day lines.

NOC stock retreated more than 6% so far this year.

L3Harris

L3Harris earnings are seen rising 7% to $3.18 per share. Experts predict revenue jumps 13% to $5.3 billion, which would mark its first decline in sales growth after six quarters of accelerating gains.

LHX stock is extended above a buy zone for a flat base.

Shares have advanced 12% in 2024.

You can follow Harrison Miller for more stock news and updates on X/Twitter @IBD_Harrison

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