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The National (Scotland)
The National (Scotland)
National
James Walker

Labour close gap with SNP to three points, new poll finds

LABOUR have closed the gap with the SNP to three points going into the next General Election, a new poll suggests.

The Survation poll has found that Anas Sarwar’s party has managed a four-point swing compared with a survey conducted two months ago, with the SNP now on 37%, Labour at 34%, the Conservatives on 17% and the Liberal Democrats on 9%.

If this were to remain correct, this would put Labour and the SNP almost neck and neck in terms of the number of seats that would be won at the next General Election. 

Vasil Lazarov, from Survation, noted that its poll showed the SNP were facing a slower decline than some would expect after the crisis that has hit the party in recent months.

And interestingly, instead of a direct flow of voters from the SNP to Labour, the narrowing lead is a result of Labour gaining support across all parties.

This overall picture is largely mirrored in the constituency vote in a Scottish Parliament election, with the SNP remaining at 38%, and Labour (33%) making a +3-point gain from the Conservatives (16%).

In the regional vote, Labour (29%) is closing in on the SNP (30%), while the Conservatives are down 2 points to 18%, and the Lib Dems are up 2 points to 9%. Green Party support remains unchanged at 10%.

The poll also found that support for independence is holding up at 47% (-1 from the last poll).

​​Survation conducted an online poll of 2026 adults between June 23 and 28.

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