Labor has won the Northern Territory seat of Lingiari after fending off a concerted effort by the Country Liberals, according to ABC chief election analyst Antony Green.
The traditionally safe Labor seat was held by veteran MP Warren Snowdon for the past two decades, but his decision to retire ahead of the election gave the Country Liberals the chance to seize it for the first time.
However, the most recent tally room figures show Labor candidate Marion Scrymgour has a 1.2 per cent buffer over her CLP rival Damien Ryan.
It equates to a lead of just over 1,000 votes, which Mr Green believes will be large enough to overcome the outstanding postal and absent votes yet to be counted.
Ms Scrymgour's current margin is significantly down on Mr Snowdon's 2019 result, when he won the seat with a 5.5 per cent margin.
The ABC has contacted Ms Scrymgour and Mr Ryan for comment.
Scrymgour the first Indigenous woman elected to NT parliament
Ms Scrymgour, who has cultural ties in the Tiwi Islands and Central Australia, was the first Indigenous woman to be elected to the NT parliament.
She later became the Deputy Chief Minister, which at the time made her the highest ranked Indigenous woman in a government in Australia's history.
Until her preselection, she was the chief executive of the Northern Land Council, which represents traditional owners in the Top End.
On Saturday night, Ms Scrymgour told her supporters in Alice Springs that the race was tight.
In a speech to the CLP faithful in the Red Centre, Damien Ryan also acknowledged the narrow margin.
"We've given a very big fight," he said.
Lingiari covers 99.99 per cent of the Northern Territory, including the regional hubs of Alice Springs, Katherine and parts of Palmerston, as well as dozens of remote Aboriginal communities.
Mr Snowdon's 21-year grip on the seat was largely based on his strong performance in remote areas, where he attracted 76 per cent of the vote, compared with about 44 per cent in the more populated centres.
Ms Scrymgour suggested remote community residents had again sided with Labor.
"When we look right across the bush, that's come home strong for us," she said.
However, Mr Ryan said the CLP had won the count in the remote community of Gunbalanya.
Ms Scrymgour, who has cultural ties in the Tiwi Islands and Central Australia, was the first Indigenous woman to be elected to the NT parliament.
She later became the Deputy Chief Minister, which at the time made her the highest ranked Indigenous woman in government in Australia's history.
Until her preselection, she was the chief executive of the Northern Land Council, which represents traditional owners in the Top End.
Lingiari a focus for major parties during campaign
Mr Ryan is a former mayor of Alice Springs and was the long-term president of the Local Government Association of the Northern Territory.
He previously ran for the CLP in the 2020 NT election, but fell just short of victory in the seat of Araluen.
The battle for Lingiari saw multiple visits from high-ranking members of both parties, including Scott Morrison and Anthony Albanese.
A range of political issues emerged in the electorate during the campaign, with crime a dominant theme in the main population centres, while housing, health and transport were the focus in remote areas.
Labor's funding commitments included:
- $100 million in immediate funding for NT homelands
- $14 million to reduce crime in Alice Springs
- $9.8 million to fight gamba grass
Some of the Coalition's promises included:
- $440 million to build three new logistics hubs in Alice Springs, Tennant Creek and Katherine
- $14 million to reduce crime in Alice Springs
- $10 million to upgrade the Freds Pass sport and recreation centre