June British pound futures (B6M25) are a buying opportunity on more price strength.
See on the daily bar chart for the June British pound futures that prices are trending higher and this week hit a six-month high. The bulls have the firm near-term technical advantage to suggest the path of least resistance for prices will remain sideways to higher for at least the near term.
It’s important to note that price trends in the currency markets tend to be stronger and longer-lasting than price trends in other markets. There are no early chart clues that the British pound is close to peaking.
Fundamentally, the Fed funds futures market on Friday is now pricing in five U.S. interest rate cuts this year. At 0.25% for each cut, that’s a 1.25% total cut this year. Analysts are saying the Fed funds futures are pricing in a U.S. recession. That’s U.S.-dollar bearish.
A move in the June British pound futures prices above chart resistance at 1.3050 would become a buying opportunity. The upside price objective would be 1.3400, or above. Technical support, for which to place a protective sell stop just below, is located at 1.2865.
IMPORTANT NOTE: I am not a futures broker and do not manage any trading accounts other than my own personal account. It is my goal to point out to you potential trading opportunities. However, it is up to you to: (1) decide when and if you want to initiate any trades and (2) determine the size of any trades you may initiate. Any trades I discuss are hypothetical in nature.
Here is what the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has said about futures trading (and I agree 100%):
Trading commodity futures and options is not for everyone. IT IS A VOLATILE, COMPLEX AND RISKY BUSINESS. Before you invest any money in futures or options contracts, you should consider your financial experience, goals and financial resources, and know how much you can afford to lose above and beyond your initial payment to a broker. You should understand commodity futures and options contracts and your obligations in entering into those contracts. You should understand your exposure to risk and other aspects of trading by thoroughly reviewing the risk disclosure documents your broker is required to give you.
