After starting the season 53-38-1 against the spread, I've cooled off faster than an Adam Gase-led offense. Bad pick after bad pick the last three weeks (you're not alone, Sam Darnold) has dropped my record to below .500. The good news? There are some winnable games this week and there's still about a half season left, so plenty of time to turn it around.
Home teams went an incredible 11-0 straight up AND against the spread on Sunday (not including the London game), reversing the season-long trend of road teams dominating (72-44-2 entering Week 9). The Giants (MNF) and Cardinals (TNF) were the only two home teams not to win, although Arizona did cover.
Underdogs went 7-7 ATS last week and are 76-58-1.
My most confident picks ATS this week are the 49ers, Cardinals, Cowboys, Browns and Steelers. Stay away from Lions-Bears.