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Wales Online
Sport
Ben James

It's hard for Wayne Pivac to come back from this, but he shouldn't be the sole scapegoat for Welsh rugby's problems

There was always something a little ironic about the screening of BBC's Slammed shortly before the Six Nations.

Heading into the tournament as defending champions, you could understand the timing of airing a documentary on how the Welsh national team put their nadir behind them to start winning championships again.

We used to be bad. Now we're not. Capeesh?

READ MORE: Biggar's warning to Wales team-mates over future

But it's not quite that simple, is it? To quote the American Office's Andy Bernard: “I wish there was a way to know you're in the good old days before you've actually left them.”

Usually, when you're celebrating the 'good old days', it's a solid indicator you're no longer in them. In fairness, the notion of a documentary charting how Welsh rugby fixed itself enough to win a few Six Nations titles at the very same time the sport sleepwalks back into the doldrums is, at the very least, on brand for rugby in this country.

From the minute Wales were dominated in Dublin back in the first weekend of February, the jokes of Slammed getting recommissioned for a second series were already doing the rounds. By the time Wales were humiliated by Italy, you sensed the documentary producers had their first act all sewn up.

Of course, the issue is that for Slammed 2: Back in the Habit (of losing) - presuming Sister Act doesn't completely own the rights to that one - to get greenlit, Wales need to bounce back from their lowest ebbs. What's a story without a happy ending, after all?

But, right now, for a myriad of reasons, it's hard to see where the upswing comes from. Defeat to Italy was, before kick-off, inconceivable. Now, the only thing tricky to foresee is where Wayne Pivac's Wales go next.

Naturally, a Six Nations with just one win - and a first home defeat to Italy - means questions will rightly be asked of Pivac. After the worst defeat in a long, long time, criticism is justifiably going to land at the door of the man in charge of the team and his coaching ticket.

However you dress it up, it's hard to defend. If you sit down and think of what Wales' best performances have been under Pivac, you're largely picking defeats. Two close encounters against France and one near-miss against South Africa.

Two of those were attritional, hard-fought affairs - exactly what you'd expect from a Warren Gatland side. The other, when they missed out on a Grand Slam at the end, was at least the blueprint to the attacking game that could take on the best toe-to-toe.

But we'd not seen that before last year's trip to Paris and we've certainly not seen it since. All too often, there have been too many issues arising from games, whether it's Wales' continual problems with the breakdown, or malfunctions on either side of the ball.

They say that the job of a coach is to plug the holes that appear in the ship from week to week. If that's the case, a fair bit of water has made its way in, given how long some holes have been left untreated by Pivac.

In a Six Nations that was effectively two quality sides and four not-so-good sides, despite what Eddie Jones believes, it became apparent that Wales are miles off from France and Ireland. It's hard to see where they're going with the World Cup on the horizon.

And so, to the question in hand. Should Pivac go? On balance, the answer is probably yes, I feel.

The crucial follow-up question though; will he go? Eighteen months out from a World Cup, it's hard to say with any certainty.

With a tour of South Africa, an autumn schedule against the southern hemisphere's best and another Six Nations to come before the tournament in France, there's no easy time to pull the trigger and bring someone new in.

But there's another question. Should the buck stop entirely with Pivac and his coaching staff?

The issue lies in the notion that, in a country where for many the success of the national team is the solitary focus, sacking Pivac would be enough.

In my opinion it wouldn't be.

Pivac will naturally come in for criticism. Comments about everyone being happy if Wales do well at the World Cup don't help him, given they already did that before he arrived.

When the bar was set at a certain height, you don't get many plaudits for patting yourself on the back for merely matching that. But the issue with coaching is just one of many in Welsh rugby's burning barn.

Wales could get rid of Pivac now and few would complain, but the danger is if the sole purpose is finding a scapegoat.

A sacrificial lamb might be attractive to those at the top of the Welsh Rugby Union. Because, for as much as the wider public only seems to care about the fortunes of the national team, I believe there are one or two who might argue the same can be said for the WRU.

The success of the country's most bankable asset, the Welsh national side, has been prioritised above all else below it.

While the regions still work in trying times with uncertainty hanging over budgets for next year, the WRU continues to pump less money into the professional game than any other home union while it spends more on the grassroots game too.

Apathy largely reigns over the fortunes of the four professional sides in Wales and that's perhaps the biggest ally the WRU have in not making significant change. The resentment for Pivac and the job he's done would quench the thirst for many until Wales next play a few months down the line.

Rightly or wrongly, he's the one in the crosshairs right now. WRU chair Rob Butcher and CEO Steve Phillips almost certainly won't be - they're not the ones having despondent post-match interviews with Sonja McLaughlan beamed around the country so, to many in Wales, they're not in the firing line.

And all the while, the tail continues to wag the dog in this country, as the amateur game dictates the professional game.

That's not to say the regions are innocent in all this. Of course they're not. There have been multiple mis-steps in the past, from poor coaching hires and signings to continual tension between the four when they should be better aligned to present a united front.

They're certainly not free of blame and it would be daft to suggest they are. But the fact of the matter is that, from the national side's perspective at least, the focus has shifted from them balancing competing at the highest level and developing Welsh internationals, as was the case 15 or so years ago, to just the latter.

In my opinion, given the international game relies on a strong stream of domestic players, there should be a clear distinction between the amateur and professional games - with the latter in charge of running itself so it wouldn't be the burden it currently is to the four sides to have Welsh internationals. Right now, the compensation doesn't quite match the work.

I just feel Welsh rugby is akin to a burning house at the minute. It's becoming more and more apparent that, in the current coaching ticket, maybe the front door doesn't quite match the decor of the whole house.

But as the banisters crumble and the furniture melts amid the flames, simply unhinging the door doesn't make the house hospitable. And this tournament, more than any other previously, has offered signs that things aren't about to get better any time soon.

The U20s have once again struggled as the development pathway continues to starve, while even the things you can rely on - such as sellouts for home Six Nations games - are no longer a sure thing. Everything in a professional sense below the national team - everything that provides the national team from the four pro sides to the player development pathway - is being strangled.

When the national team is your most profitable asset, not funding its lifeblood adequately doesn't tend to work out that well. Perhaps after riding the crest of a wave built upon more harmonious times for too long, we've reached a tipping point.

The nadir was always likely to come. As a result, Pivac may well go before the World Cup in France. Certainly, it feels like defeat to Italy was a step too far to come back from.

But if his departure proves only a means of directing the ire of the Welsh public away from where I personally believe some of it should also be aimed, then we might be waiting some time for the redemption arc of Slammed 2.

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