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Israeli Poll: Doubt On Government Completing Term, Hamas Influence Grows

Protest against Israeli PM Benjamin Netanyahu's government, in Tel Aviv

A recent poll conducted by the Israel Democracy Institute (IDI) has revealed that only a minority of Israelis believe that the current government will be able to complete its four-year term. The survey, which interviewed 755 individuals between March 31 and April 3, 2024, found that just about one-third of respondents expressed confidence in the government's ability to last its full term.

Interestingly, the poll showed that there was no significant difference in opinion between Jewish Israelis and Arab Israelis regarding the government's longevity, with 36% of Jewish respondents and 38% of Arab respondents expressing doubts about the government's ability to survive.

Political affiliation also played a role in shaping perceptions, as those on the political Right, aligned with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's government, were slightly more optimistic about the government's prospects. However, even among this group, only 44% believed that the government would last its full term.

It is worth noting that the current Netanyahu government assumed office at the end of 2022, and historically, Israeli governments rarely complete their full terms without early elections being called.

Additionally, the poll shed light on another significant finding, with a majority of respondents acknowledging that Hamas has succeeded in refocusing international attention on the Palestinian issue. This sentiment underscores the complex geopolitical dynamics at play in the region.

The IDI poll, which included interviews conducted in both Hebrew and Arabic, highlighted the diverse perspectives within Israeli society. With a margin of error of 3.65 points, the survey provides valuable insights into the prevailing attitudes towards the government and regional dynamics.

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