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Israeli offensive on Rafah looms as negotiations with Hamas continue

Israel supporters protest about the conflict between Israel and Hamas, in Bogota

Negotiations in Cairo between the Israeli and Hamas delegations ended without a final agreement on Tuesday night. Despite talks continuing through diplomatic and security channels for a few more days, there are concerns about the lack of progress and the potential for a further escalation of violence.

The open nature of these negotiations has highlighted the difficulties in bridging the gaps between the two parties. Israel insists on the return of all hostages, while Hamas is seeking to secure as many concessions as possible. This strategic move by Hamas is likely driven by the recognition that this may be their last opportunity to achieve their goals in the negotiations.

However, many experts believe that this lack of immediate progress should not cause alarm. Negotiations of this nature often involve back-and-forth discussions and can take time to reach an agreement. Behind the scenes, constant communication and phone calls are ongoing to work out the specific details.

There is an apparent mismatch between the urgency to secure a deal on the release of hostages and the imminent threat of an Israeli offensive in Rafah. A potential offensive could lead to a significant loss of life, which has sparked concerns about a potential bloodbath. Nonetheless, it is believed that Israel is using this as a deterrent to pressure Hamas into making concessions. The threat of a large-scale ground offensive, which would effectively halt the negotiation process, is being held over Hamas.

The former Israeli Prime Minister and President, Shimon Peres, once remarked that 'while we're talking, we're not shooting.' This sentiment seems to echo the current situation. The ongoing negotiations have arguably slowed down any major offensive moves by Israel. However, there have been reports of targeted and surgical strikes to demonstrate their seriousness and maintain pressure on Hamas.

The recent hostage rescue attempt by Israel resulted in a significant number of casualties on the Hamas side, which appears to have dampened the offensive plans temporarily. Prime Minister Netanyahu is under pressure both domestically and from the United States to reach a resolution regarding the hostages. This added external pressure may further incentivize Israel to strike a deal and avoid an escalation of hostilities.

In conclusion, although negotiations in Cairo ended without a conclusive agreement, it is not uncommon for such talks to go through iterations before progress is made. The potential for an Israeli offensive looms, but it is believed that this serves as a tactical tool rather than an immediate threat. Both parties are aware of the impact their actions may have on the negotiation process, and efforts are likely underway to reach a resolution to the hostage situation.

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