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Rashmi Kumari

Is Nucor Stock Underperforming the S&P 500?

Charlotte, North Carolina-based Nucor Corporation (NUE) is a leading figure in the steel production industry, renowned for its innovative manufacturing processes and sustainable practices. With a market cap of $37.09 billion, NUE is a key player in the steel sector, offering a wide range of steel products and services to various industries, including construction, automotive, and energy. Competing vigorously with other steel manufacturers, Nucor's primary rival is Steel Dynamics, Inc. (STLD), known for its advanced steel production techniques and strong commitment to environmental stewardship.

Companies valued at $10 billion or more are generally considered "large-caps," and Nucor Corporation fits this criterion perfectly, signifying its substantial size, stability, and influence in the steel production industry. With its strong market presence and commitment to innovation and sustainability, Nucor stands out as a dominant force in the steel sector, providing essential materials and services to a wide range of industries.

NUE shares are trading 23.8% below their 52-week high of $203, which they hit on Apr. 9. Also, the stock has declined 22.1% over the past three months, underperforming the S&P 500 Index’s ($SPX) 4.5% returns over the same time frame.

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Longer term, NUE is down 11.1% on a YTD basis, and the shares have declined 3.8% over the past 52 weeks. In comparison, the S&P 500 has gained 15% in 2024 and 25.2% over the past year.

To confirm the recent bearish trend, NUE has been trading below its 50-day moving average since late April and 200-day moving average since late May.

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NUE reported its Q1 results on Apr. 22. The company reported a profit of $844.8 million, translating to a net income of $3.46 per share, which fell short of Wall Street expectations of $3.62 per share. However, the company surpassed revenue forecasts, posting $8.14 billion in revenue compared to the $8.03 billion expected by analysts. The stock gained marginally on the earnings release day but declined 8.9% the following day.

Highlighting the contrast in performance, rival STLD has outperformed NUE, with a 5.9% gain on a YTD basis.

Despite NUE's recent underperformance compared to SPX, analysts are moderately optimistic about its prospects. The stock has a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy" from 11 analysts in coverage. The mean price target of $190.56 reflects a 23.2% premium over current levels.

On the date of publication, Rashmi Kumari did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here.
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