Dallas, Texas-based Match Group, Inc. (MTCH) is a global leader in the online dating industry. With a market cap of $8.3 billion, the company owns and operates a wide range of popular dating platforms such as Tinder, Match, and OkCupid, offering services across various demographics and interests.
Companies worth $2 billion or more are generally described as “mid-cap stocks,” and MTCH fits right into that category with its market cap exceeding this threshold, reflecting its substantial size, influence, and dominance in the internet content & information industry. MTCH's extensive portfolio of brands allows it to target diverse demographics and preferences, giving it a broad market reach. Its strong brand recognition, strategic acquisitions, and investment in technologies such as AI-driven matching algorithms and safety features set it apart from other peers in the industry.
Despite its notable strength, MTCH shares slipped 21.8% from its 52-week high of $42.43 achieved on Jan 9. Over the past three months, MTCH stock dipped 12.3%, underperforming the S&P 500 Index’s ($SPX) 4.1% gains during the same time frame.
In the longer term, shares of MTCH rose 8.9% over the past six months but dipped 7.4% over the past 52 weeks, underperforming SPX’s six-month gains of 8.9% and 24.9% returns over the last year.
To confirm the bearish trend, MTCH has been trading below its 200-day moving average since early November, with slight fluctuations. The stock is trading below its 50-day moving average since late October, with slight fluctuations.
MTCH’s underperformance can be attributed to a drop in paid user subscriptions, largely driven due to Tinder, shrinking operating margins, rising competition in the online dating space, and a challenging economic environment influencing consumer spending.
On Oct. 29, MTCH shares closed down marginally after reporting its Q3 results. Its revenue of $895.5 million, beat Wall Street forecasts of $900.3 million. The company’s EPS was $0.51, surpassing analyst estimates of $0.46. For Q4, MTCH expects revenue to be between $865 million and $875 million.
MTCH’s rival, Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) has taken the lead over the stock, gaining 15.5% over the past six months and a solid 67.6% gain over the past 52 weeks.
Wall Street analysts are moderately bullish on MTCH’s prospects. The stock has a consensus “Moderate Buy” rating from the 25 analysts covering it, and the mean price target of $36.88 suggests a potential upside of 11.2% from current price levels.
