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Barchart
Barchart
Rashmi Kumari

Is Johnson Controls Stock Outperforming the Dow?

Valued at $55.6 billion by market cap, Johnson Controls International plc (JCI) is a global leader in building technologies and solutions. Headquartered in Cork, Ireland, the company offers an extensive portfolio of products and services, including HVAC systems, building automation, and energy solutions, delivering innovative and sustainable solutions that enhance operational efficiency and environmental performance across industries.

Companies valued at over $10 billion are often categorized as “large-cap stocks,” a distinction Johnson Controls exemplifies through its strong market presence, innovation, and leadership in building technologies and solutions. JCI’s dedication to advancing sustainability, enhancing energy efficiency, and delivering cutting-edge building automation systems underscores its stability, adaptability, and ability to excel in an increasingly competitive and dynamic global market.

Johnson Controls shares are down 4.4% from their 52-week high of $87.16, achieved on Nov. 11. Over the past three months, the stock has gained 17%, outperforming the broader Dow Jones Industrials Average’s ($DOWI6.9% gains over the same time frame.

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Over the longer term, JCI stock has risen 44.6% over the past 52 weeks and gained 56.7% on a YTD basis, significantly outperforming the Dow's YTD growth of 16.5% and its 20.1% return over the past year.

JCI's bullish momentum is evident as the stock has consistently traded above its 50-day moving average since early November and maintained its position above the 200-day moving average since February.

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Shares of Johnson Controls surged 11% in November, fueled by robust Q4 earnings and an optimistic fiscal 2025 outlook, solidifying its position as a standout in the industrial sector. On Nov. 6, the company reported adjusted EPS of $1.28, exceeding Wall Street expectations of $1.25, while revenue increased 6.7% annually to $6.25 billion, though it missed the consensus estimate of $7.26 billion. The earnings announcement triggered an 8.8% rise in the stock. 

For fiscal 2025, Johnson Controls projected mid-single-digit organic sales growth for both Q1 and the full year, with Q1 guidance including an adjusted segment EBITA margin of approximately 14.5% and adjusted EPS in the range of $0.57 to $0.60.

Its rival, Honeywell International Inc (HON), has gained 13% over the past 52 weeks and 8.6% on a YTD basis, underperforming HON in both time frames.

Analysts maintain a cautiously optimistic outlook on JCI, given its recent strong price performance. The stock has a consensus "Moderate Buy" rating from 19 analysts, and has a mean price target of $88.89, which suggests a potential upside of 6.7% from its current level.

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