Following President-elect Trump's victory, Iran is now faced with the challenge of dealing with a leader they have been at odds with for years. Tehran had allegedly been involved in U.S. election interference in support of Vice President Kamala Harris, but with Trump's win, the regime must now prepare for a leader who is considered unpredictable.
Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IGRC) recently posted a video on their Telegram channel threatening to kill Trump, citing revenge for the 2019 killing of Gen. Qassem Soleimani. The regime is concerned about potential economic repercussions, as evidenced by the significant drop in Iran's currency value following Trump's victory.
Despite facing U.S. sanctions, Iran has managed to export substantial amounts of oil, but the threat of nuclear weapon production looms large. The return of maximum pressure from the U.S. is expected, posing further economic challenges for Iran.
The Trump administration's withdrawal from the Iran nuclear deal and imposition of harsh sanctions have significantly impacted Iran's financial activities. President Biden's approach of waiving some sanctions to encourage negotiations has provided Iran with access to funds, albeit for humanitarian purposes.
Iran must also consider Trump's impending presidency in its strategies regarding conflicts with Israel. Trump's previous policies, including support for Israel and anti-interventionist tendencies, may influence Iran's decisions in the region.
While some speculate that Trump could be less supportive of Israel compared to the Biden administration, others highlight his unpredictability as a factor that Iran must navigate cautiously. The potential for military action and the impact of Trump's isolationist stance on U.S. foreign policy remain uncertain.
Iran has maintained a composed stance regarding the implications of a Trump presidency, emphasizing that their policies remain consistent regardless of individual leaders. The regime aims to uphold stability and ensure the well-being of its citizens amidst evolving geopolitical dynamics.
