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Hurricane Milton's Track Shifts South, Affecting Florida's West Coast

Boats destroyed during Hurricane Helene are shown on the Davis Islands Yacht Basin ahead of the possible arrival of Hurricane Milton Monday, Oct. 7, 2024, in Tampa, Fla. (AP Photo/Chris O'Meara)

Recent developments in Hurricane Milton's trajectory have caused concern for residents along Florida's west central Gulf Coast. The hurricane, which initially defied expectations by tracking farther south than forecasted, has now shifted its path closer to the Sarasota area, potentially sparing the Tampa Bay region from a catastrophic scenario.

Originally projected to make landfall in the southern portion of the Tampa Bay area, the latest forecast places Milton's landfall 20 to 25 miles to the south. This adjustment has led to a slight decrease in the storm surge forecast for Tampa Bay, now ranging up to 12 feet instead of the previously predicted 15 feet.

Milton's landfall now expected 20-25 miles south of Tampa Bay.
Recent trajectory shift raises concerns for Florida's west central Gulf Coast.
Storm surge forecast for Tampa Bay lowered to up to 12 feet.

While Milton has begun to turn northeastward, experts warn that small shifts in its track could still occur before landfall, emphasizing the unpredictability of hurricanes when interacting with land and atmospheric conditions. The National Hurricane Center advises residents within the storm's cone to remain vigilant and prepared for potential impacts.

It is crucial for individuals in the affected areas to stay informed and heed official warnings as the storm progresses. The average margin of error in predicting a hurricane's landfall point at 24 hours out is approximately 40 miles, underscoring the need for continued monitoring and readiness.

As Hurricane Milton continues its path towards the west central Gulf Coast, residents are urged to prioritize safety measures and evacuation protocols to mitigate potential risks associated with the storm's arrival. Stay tuned for further updates and advisories from local authorities and meteorological agencies as the situation evolves.

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