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Fortune
Fortune
Lily Mae Lazarus

How Trump's war against DEI could reshape the future corner office

Brian Cornell, Target CEO, shakes hands with Donald Trump

President Donald Trump’s executive order last Monday to end federal DEI programs marks the latest in a series of efforts to roll back such initiatives. Companies like Target, Walmart, McDonald’s, and Meta have already scaled back their DEI commitments, revising hiring practices and eliminating DEI roles. The order also aims to discourage private companies from implementing DEI programs, labeling them as “illegal DEI discrimination and preferences,” and directs federal agencies to identify up to nine publicly traded companies for potential civil investigations.

The long-term impact of the Trump administration’s anti-DEI stance remains to be seen, but abandoning decades-old inclusivity initiatives risks reshaping the future C-suite by limiting diversity in the current leadership talent pipeline. A lack of diverse employees at entry-level and mid-level positions diminishes the pool of qualified leaders from underrepresented backgrounds and hinders organizations from fostering the varied perspectives and ideas needed to address challenges in an increasingly global market.

“We are not setting the next generation up very well for leadership or a growing economy if we continue to put forth policies like this,” says Christie Smith, former vice president for diversity and inclusion at Apple. “This strategy ties one hand behind their back when it comes to getting the right talent in the right places to execute on strategy and growth.”

Smith highlights challenges such as workforce discontent, distrust in leadership, declining productivity, and a growing deficit of skilled workers as issues future executives will inherit. She argues that abandoning DEI efforts will position corporations for underperformance.

“Meanwhile, companies that stand by their values and purpose will win the game in terms of skills, innovation, and productivity,” Smith adds.

Homogeneity at the top could also lead to leadership structures that struggle to connect with diverse consumer bases, stifle innovation, and perpetuate systemic inequities, leaving the C-suite ill-equipped to reflect and respond to a changing workforce and society.

Demographic shifts within corporate hierarchies occur gradually, but they can be accelerated or decelerated depending on an organization’s commitment to promoting diverse talent pipelines. Consider female CEOs: It wasn’t until early 2023 that women led more than 10% of Fortune 500 companies—a milestone that has since stagnated. When this record was achieved, a quarter of the 52 female CEOs had been appointed within the previous year, reflecting corporate America’s effort to reassess leadership diversity at the time.

Despite mounting political and social pressures, some Fortune 500 companies have reaffirmed their commitment to DEI. Costco, for example, recently saw 98% of its shareholders reject a proposal to evaluate risks tied to its DEI policies, signaling strong internal support. Leaders at Microsoft, Apple, Goldman Sachs, and JPMorgan Chase have also publicly reinforced their dedication to diversity efforts.

Companies that maintain these commitments are poised to benefit, says DEI consultant Cynthia Overton, as Gen Z and millennial employees increasingly prioritize organizations committed to employee well-being, ethical leadership, and inclusion. “These generations are reshaping the workforce,” she explains. “Companies that uphold inclusive workplaces will gain a competitive advantage in talent acquisition and retention.”

Financially, the case for diversity is strong. McKinsey research shows that companies with diverse workforces outperform their peers, and a 2023 DEI report notes that diverse organizations generate more than twice the cash flow per employee.

Pamela Coukos, CEO of Working IDEAL, urges leaders to stay consistent regardless of the Trump administration’s stance. She advises companies to evaluate the criteria shaping their decision-making processes and thoughtfully consider whose input they prioritize.

“This isn’t about excluding anyone or closing doors,” she says. “It’s about choosing the best people to move forward without preconceived notions about who they should be.”

On the other hand, companies that abandon DEI initiatives risk losing top talent to competitors. “People can vote with their feet,” says DEI strategist Paolo Gaudiano, adding that such an exodus would be “phenomenal” for companies committed to inclusion.

Still, the real concern is that the precedent set by the Trump administration could undo decades of progress that have allowed women and people of color to rise to the C-suite and boardroom, ultimately worsening the future composition of business leadership.

“We may go back to having just one token person in the boardroom, which makes meaningful change very difficult,” Smith warns.

Despite this, Coukos remains optimistic. She notes that the past 25 years of gradual, albeit limited, progress in C-suite diversity demonstrates that women and people of color will continue to advance, even amid resistance to DEI efforts.

“History is clear,” she says. “There have been setbacks and backlash, but over time, equal opportunity expands.”

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