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House votes on impeaching Homeland Security Secretary Mayorkas. NY special election crucial

FILE - Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas testifies on Capitol Hill, Nov. 8, 2023, in Washington. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon, File)

In a closely watched development on Capitol Hill, the House of Representatives is once again moving forward with a vote to impeach Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas. This comes just a week after a previous attempt failed by a slim margin. House Speaker Mike Johnson, who suffered a humiliating defeat in the previous vote, is now rushing to save face by pushing for a second impeachment vote.

The urgency surrounding this vote is heightened by the looming special election in New York, which could have a significant impact on the outcome. The election is being held to replace the expelled Republican Congressman George Santos and is viewed as a crucial win for Speaker Johnson. The race is said to be incredibly tight, with no clear frontrunner at this point.

However, there are several key factors that could influence the outcome of the impeachment vote. Firstly, the weather on voting day, which included a snowstorm, impacted voter turnout. The district experienced its most substantial snowfall in seven years, potentially affecting the ability of voters to make it to the polls.

Additionally, the potential absence of certain House members due to travel delays further complicates the vote. With a razor-thin Republican majority, even a single absence could derail the impeachment efforts. The Republican leadership is closely monitoring the attendance of its members and will be making adjustments accordingly.

Despite the House Republican leadership's assurance that they have the necessary votes to proceed with the impeachment, the absence of certainty raises doubts about the ultimate outcome. Furthermore, even if the vote does pass in the House, Democrats in the Senate have stated their intention to quickly dismiss the charges once they reach the Senate floor.

The conjunction of the impeachment vote and the special election in New York have become inextricably linked, as the outcome of one could impact the success or failure of the other. If the impeachment vote fails and the Democrat wins in New York, Speaker Johnson's efforts to impeach Mayorkas would be thwarted.

As the votes are being counted and the Speaker carefully monitors potential absences, the nation awaits the results of both the impeachment vote and the special election. The final outcome will have significant implications for the House Republican leadership and the future of the Department of Homeland Security.

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