Get all your news in one place.
100’s of premium titles.
One app.
Start reading
AAP
AAP
Environment
Ethan James

Hidden water study raises Antarctic melting alarm

Scientists believe global sea-level rises might be higher than expected due to subglacial melting. (HANDOUT/AUSTRALIAN ANTARCTIC DIVISION)

Antarctica could be heading towards melting "tipping points" faster than thought, according to a study examining little-understood hidden water flows. 

The frozen continent is losing ice at an increasing rate with some studies suggesting parts will reach likely irreversible melting points by the end of the century. 

Recently published research says such points could arrive much earlier, as soon as 2050, because current models fail to fully consider subglacial water. 

The Denman glacier in Antarctica
Scientists say more data is needed to understand the impact of subglacial water flows. (HANDOUT/AUSTRALIAN ANTARCTIC DIVISION)

Streams of subglacial water come from meltwater at the top of the glacier and liquefy at the base where the ice grinds against the bedrock. 

This water can lubricate the ice, allowing it to slide more rapidly toward the ocean.

Australian Antarctic Program Partnership's Chen Zhao was part of an international study that included subglacial water information in ice sheet simulations. 

They found subglacial water can triple ice discharge and failing to properly take it into account could result in an underestimation of global sea-level rises by two metres by 2300.

Researchers drill a borehole to test an ice shelf in Antarctica.
Researchers drill a borehole to test an ice shelf in Antarctica. (HANDOUT/UNIVERSITY OF CANBERRA / AUSTRALIAN ANTARCTIC DIVISION)

Dr Zhao stressed more data was needed to better understand subglacial water and verify the simulations. 

"(The results were) kind of a big surprise to me," she said. 

"We know ... subglacial water can enhance the (ice) sliding but we didn't expect such a huge difference.

"The outcome of this model is very scary but it doesn't mean we have lost our time window.

"If we take immediate (climate) action now we still have a chance to delay the ... tipping point." 

Subglacial mapping in Antarctica
Regions vulnerable to subglacial water flows were mapped as active (blue) and stable (yellow). (HANDOUT/NATURE COMMUNICATIONS)

The study used two computer models, one of ice sheet flow and one to predict subglacial water production and flow, in various scenarios. 

This is not the first research to raise concerns - a 2024 paper by the British Antarctic Survey also examined the role of subglacial water. 

The study modelled how warmer seawater seeps between the land and ice, finding projections of sea level increases could be significant underestimates.

More than 140 active subglacial lakes have been identified beneath Antarctica over the past two decades but vast regions, particularly the east, remain unexplored. 

Dr Chen, lead author of the study published in the journal Nature Communications, said it was very challenging to get data from areas sometimes kilometres deep. 

The study's authors say more investment is needed to obtain crucial information. 

An extra two-metre sea level rise would potentially displace millions of people, they say. 

Sign up to read this article
Read news from 100’s of titles, curated specifically for you.
Already a member? Sign in here
Related Stories
Top stories on inkl right now
One subscription that gives you access to news from hundreds of sites
Already a member? Sign in here
Our Picks
Fourteen days free
Download the app
One app. One membership.
100+ trusted global sources.