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Pooja Sitaram Jaiswar

HDFC Bank shares dip 2.5%, mcap of over ₹21k cr erased in 1 day. Should you buy?

HDFC Bank is a hot pick to buy as the shares have potential to reach ₹1,800 apiece going forward. (Pradeep Gaur/Mint)

On BSE, HDFC Bank shares were performing at 1488 apiece down by 32.90 or 2.16% at the time of writing. Just a few minutes ago, the shares were near the day's low of 1,483 apiece. Overall, the shares have dipped by at least 2.5% on Dalal Street.

The bank's market valuation at the current price level is around 8,27,927.20 crore. Compared to the previous closing, the market cap has dipped over 18,732 crore.

Taking into consideration the day's low, HDFC Bank's market valuation has dropped by 21,000 crore.

Earlier this week, HDFC Bank announced that the board of directors meeting will be held on October 15 to consider the audited standalone and consolidated financial results for the second quarter and half year ending September 30, 2022.

Should you buy HDFC Bank shares?

Gaurav Jani and Palak Shah analysts at Prabhudas Lilladher in their latest note on Friday, said, "we met HDFCB management to allay these concerns viz. 1) garnering higher market share in system deposits, 2) grandfathering of HDFC’s bank borrowings, 3) share of unsecured loans in the merged entity, 4) drag on NIM due to PSL shortfall, and 5) outlook on NIM/opex."

The analysts' note said, " We believe that faster deposit accretion for HDFCB from a system standpoint may be

achievable, while grandfathering of bank borrowings may be permitted. Unsecured share in the merged entity might remain between 11-12%, as mortgage portfolio (higher ticket size) would grow aggressively."

Further, the analysts note added, "Standalone NIM may gradually improve (4.2% in FY22), as a share of retail would rise that may also protect NIM owing to lower PSL requirements. Opex could remain elevated over the medium term. As we slightly raise NII for FY24E/25E, our PAT increases by an average of 2.5%. Hence we raise SOTP based TP from Rs1740 to Rs1800 basis Sep’24 core ABV but maintain ‘BUY’."

In Q1FY23, HDFC Bank garnered a net profit of 9,196 crore increasing by 19% from the same period last year. The net interest income (NII) of 19,481.4 crore in Q1FY23 was up by 14.5% from 17,009 crore in the same period last year, driven by advances and deposits that recorded growth of 22.5% and 19.2% respectively.

As of June 30, 2022, HDFC Bank's gross non-performing assets were at 1.28% of gross advances (1.06% excluding NPAs in the seasonal agricultural segment) compared to 1.47% of Q1FY22 (1.26% excluding NPAs in the seasonal agricultural segment).

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