Closing summary
Nikki Haley made the most of the hours remaining before tomorrow’s primary in New Hampshire, crisscrossing the Granite state alongside governor Chris Sununu in a bid to lure votes away from Donald Trump. But polls continue to show the former president with a big lead, underscoring the difficulty Haley will have in overcoming his status as the frontrunner for the Republican presidential nomination.
Trump is expected in New Hampshire later today, after appearing this morning in a New York City courtroom for a hearing in author E Jean Carroll’s defamation lawsuit against him, where he was set to testify. The session was unexpectedly adjourned after a juror felt ill, and one of Trump’s lawyers was exposed to Covid-19.
Here’s what else happened today:
Kamala Harris assailed Trump for his role in overturning Roe v Wade on the 51st anniversary of the supreme court decision that allowed abortion access nationwide.
Nikki Haley has avoided talking much about abortion, even though she has signalled she would be fine with restricting the procedure federally. Some voters who support abortion rights are fine with that.
Judge Judy delivered her verdict on the presidential race by stumping for Haley in New Hampshire.
Elise Stefanik, who is seen as potential running mate for Trump, said the adjournment of his defamation trial was “blatant election interference”. In reality, it was requested by the former president’s legal team.
Someone is making robocalls to New Hampshire voters that sound like Joe Biden and encourage them not to vote in Tuesday’s primary, prompting the president’s re-election campaign to call for an investigation.
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As she blitzes the state, Nikki Haley talks about keeping taxes low, the military strong and the border secure. One issue she does not mention: abortion.
On the 51st anniversary of Roe v Wade, Joe Biden and Democrats across the country are railing against Republicans, calling them “anti-abortion extremists” who would impose a federal ban on the procedure if they win back power this fall.
Haley calls herself “pro-life” but has promised to seek consensus as president. In Iowa, where evangelical Christians dominate the caucuses, Haley signaled her willingness, if elected, to sign any restrictions that reached her desk.
But in comparatively moderate New Hampshire, she has mostly shut down inquiries about what kind of federal limit she would support, insisting that any legislation is purely theoretical without 60 votes in the Senate – as she told one curious onlooker at a stop in Epping on Sunday.
Across the state, several pro-choice independent voters said the risk of a Trump presidency worried them more than Haley’s views on abortion.
“I’ve long ago accepted that I can’t agree with a candidate on everything,” said Carole Alfano, an independent who met Haley at the campaign stop in the town of Epping. “We’ll part ways on that.”
Alfano backed Biden in 2020, but plans to support Haley in Tuesday’s primary.
In Derry, Marie Mulroy is ecstatic about the prospect of a Haley nomination even though she believes abortion should remain legal.
“We’ll agree to disagree on that,” she said.
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Can Nikki Haley pull a shock win in New Hampshire out of the bag?
She’s the last candidate standing against Donald Trump, after Florida governor Ron DeSantis exited the race and endorsed the former president on Sunday. Host of the Guardian’s Politics Weekly America podcast Jonathan Freedland headed out on the campaign trail in the Granite state to find out the answer:
Joe Biden’s re-election campaign marked Roe v Wade’s 51st anniversary by debuting an advertisement in which Texas obstetrician-gynecologist Austin Dennard discusses how she had to leave the state to get an abortion after finding out that her fetus would not survive.
Who’s to blame? Donald Trump, as Dennard makes clear. Expect to see tons of this sort of messaging coming from the campaigns of the president and other Democrats over the coming months:
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'How dare he?': Harris attacks Trump on Roe v Wade anniversary
On the 51st anniversary of the supreme court’s Roe v Wade decision, Kamala Harris attacked Donald Trump for his role in appointing justices who overturned the precedent and allowed states to ban abortion.
The vice-president spoke during a visit today to Wisconsin, a battleground state that will be crucial to deciding the outcome of the November election. Democrats plan to campaign on restoring access to abortion, after the 2022 decision in Dobbs v Jackson Women’s Health Organization that curtailed abortion access in many states.
Harris did not hold back from assailing the former president, citing his comments that he was “proud” of his role in getting three justices confirmed to the court, all of whom voted to overturn Roe. Here’s what she had to say:
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Biden campaign calls for investigation of New Hampshire robocalls impersonating president
Joe Biden’s re-election campaign has called on New Hampshire authorities to investigate a spate of robocalls to voters in which a voice that sounds like the president encourages them not to participate in Tuesday’s primary.
Biden’s name is not appearing on the primary ballot, since Democrats have decided to hold their first nominating contest in South Carolina next month. But some in the party are encouraging their voters to write in the president’s name, both as a show of support and to pressure the Democratic National Committee to give New Hampshire, which has historically been the second state to vote, a more prominent role in the nominating process.
In a statement, Biden-Harris campaign manager Julie Chavez Rodriguez said:
This matter has already been referred to the New Hampshire Attorney General, and the campaign is actively discussing additional actions to take immediately. Spreading disinformation to suppress voting and deliberately undermine free and fair elections will not stand, and fighting back against any attempt to undermine our democracy will continue to be a top priority for this campaign.
David Scanlan, the New Hampshire secretary of state, predicted Republican voter participation in the primaries will reach 322,000, eclipsing 2016’s total, when Republicans set a record of 287,652 votes.
In 2020, it was Democrats who saw record turnout for their competitive primary, with 300,368 votes cast.
Before a deadline in October, as many as 4,000 registered Democrats changed their party affiliation to “undeclared,” suggesting some plan to vote in the Republican primary.
A Monmouth University Poll-Washington Post poll released today found that the number of registered New Hampshire independents who plan to vote in the Republican primary increased from 52% in November to 63%.
More than a third of these voters said they voted for Biden in 2020, suggesting there could be a “measurable influx of Democratic-leaning independents” who will participate in Tuesday’s primary.
In a conversation on Friday, Fergus Cullen, a former New Hampshire GOP chairman and prominent Trump opponent, said he did not see evidence that Haley had “lit a spark” among these voters in the way that might foretell “some kind of surge coming her way.”
“People turn out when they are inspired, or they’re pissed off,” said Cullen, who had seen Haley on the campaign trail four times. “What we’re seeing is that people are not inspired, and they’re apathetic. And that means that they don’t show up.”
New Hampshire’s secretary of state David Scanlan is predicting record turnout in the Republican primary, while governor Chris Sununu is joking that he is cashing in all of his political capital to ensure balmy weather for voters headed to the polls on Tuesday.
That would be a stark contrast from Iowa, where arctic temperatures were blamed for the low turnout last week.
Recent polling has shown Trump with a double digit lead in the state. But New Hampshire has a record of unpredictability, thanks to the large number of voters who proudly belong to neither party. They are not a monolith, but analysts believe that the more of them who choose to vote in the Republican primary, the better for Haley.
“The only big X factor I see: how big is turnout?” said Dante Scala, a professor of Political Science and International Affairs at the University of New Hampshire.
According to Scala, Haley is attempting something novel in New Hampshire. Republican presidential candidates who have pulled off wins in New Hampshire – such as John McCain in 2008 and Mitt Romney in 2012 – managed to appeal to the state’s independents while still pulling in a sizable chunk of the party faithful. (Independents, called “undeclared” voters in New Hampshire, can vote in either party’s primary.)
This year, Trump has a lock on Republican base voters. To win, or even to come within striking distance of Trump, Scala said Haley will need to run up the score with these independent voters, some of whom could choose to vote in the sleepy Democratic primary or not at all if they feel the contest is a foregone conclusion.
Scala said Haley’s test is whether she “inspired enough people to show up, who don’t normally show up, to get a turnout big enough that it swamps the Trump people and your mainstream Republican in New Hampshire.”
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Joe Biden spoke to UK prime minister Rishi Sunak on Monday about Gaza, Ukraine, and the Houthi attacks in the Red Sea, White House spokesperson John Kirby said, AFP reported.
From White House correspondent for AFP Danny Kemp:
Judy Sheindlin, widely known as Judge Judy, told CNN on Monday that she would endorse Nikki Haley if she “were a frog”.
During the interview with CNN’s Dana Bash, Judge Judy was asked if the reason she endorsed Haley was because Haley is a woman.
“No, I would support her if she were a frog,” said the ever-colorful Sheindlin.
“She’s capable. She’s poised,” Sheindlin added.
Sheindlin said that neither Trump nor Biden have the “intellectual gravitas” to be US president.
According to Sheindlin, she has only endorsed one presidential candidate before –the former New York mayor, Michael Bloomberg, during the 2020 presidential election.
Sheindlin has campaigned for Haley ahead of the highly watched New Hampshire primary on Tuesday.
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The day so far
Nikki Haley is making the most of the hours remaining before tomorrow’s primary in New Hampshire, crisscrossing the Granite state alongside governor Chris Sununu in a bid to lure votes away from Donald Trump. But polls continue to show the former president with a big lead, underscoring the difficulty Haley will have in overcoming his status as the frontrunner for the Republican presidential nomination. Trump is expected in New Hampshire later today, after appearing this morning in a New York City courtroom for a hearing in author E Jean Carroll’s defamation lawsuit against him, where he was set to testify. The session was abruptly adjourned after a juror felt ill, and one of Trump’s lawyers was exposed to Covid-19.
Here’s what else has happened today so far:
Judge Judy delivered her verdict on the presidential race by stumping for Haley in New Hampshire.
Elise Stefanik, who is seen as potential running mate for Trump, said the adjournment of his defamation trial was “blatant election interference”. In reality, it was requested by the former president’s legal team.
Someone is reportedly making robocalls to New Hampshire voters that sound like Joe Biden and encourage them not to vote in Tuesday’s primary. Supporters of a campaign to write in his name – he is not appearing on the ballot, in line with Democratic National Committee rules – say the calls are meant to undermine them.
Donald Trump is clearly smarting from the ongoing defamation lawsuit against him by author E Jean Carroll, and a jury’s verdict last year that he sexually abused her. As the Guardian’s Sam Levine reports, his campaign yesterday barred a NBC News reporter who had pressed his ally Elise Stefanik for her thoughts on the verdict:
Donald Trump’s presidential campaign reportedly blocked an NBC News journalist from covering campaign events in New Hampshire on Sunday.
Sunday’s exclusion of NBC News correspondent Vaughn Hillyard came when he was set to serve as a pool reporter. Instead of having a pack of reporters follow a candidate everywhere, campaigns will often allow television, print, and radio news organizations to send a single pool reporter to travel with them – and those reporters in turn then send a readout to other news outlets.
But on Sunday, Hillyard wrote in an email to the pool: “Your pooler was told that if he was the designated pooler by NBC News that the pool would be cut off for the day.”
The email, which was subsequently published by several news organizations, added: “After affirming to the campaign that your pooler would attend the events, NBC News was informed at about 2.20pm that the pool would not be allowed to travel with Trump today.”
Hillyard a day earlier had pressed New York congresswoman Elise Stefanik – said to be a potential Trump running mate – on whether she believed the ex-president had sexually assaulted E Jean Carroll.
NBC News and Steven Cheung, a Trump campaign spokesperson, did not immediately return a request for comment.
You don’t have to be Joe Biden for someone to make a robot of your likeness. As the Guardian’s Dan Milmo reports, Democratic congressman and presidential candidate Dean Phillips has his own AI impersonator:
OpenAI has removed the account of the developer behind an artificial intelligence-powered bot impersonating the US presidential candidate Dean Phillips, saying it violated company policy.
Phillips, who is challenging Joe Biden for the Democratic party candidacy, was impersonated by a ChatGPT-powered bot on the dean.bot site.
The bot was backed by Silicon Valley entrepreneurs Matt Krisiloff and Jed Somers, who have started a Super Pac – a body that funds and supports political candidates – named We Deserve Better, supporting Phillips.
San Francisco-based OpenAI said it had removed a developer account that violated its policies on political campaigning and impersonation.
“We recently removed a developer account that was knowingly violating our API usage policies which disallow political campaigning, or impersonating an individual without consent,” said the company.
The Phillips bot, created by AI firm Delphi, is now disabled. Delphi has been contacted for comment.
A factor working against Nikki Haley in her quest to win the New Hampshire Republican primary is Donald Trump’s resounding victory in last week’s Iowa caucus.
His triumph in the first state to vote in the GOP’s nomination process confirmed his status as the frontrunner for the nomination. But election turnout was low in the Hawkeye state, a fact Haley was keen to remind voters of in New Hampshire:
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New Hampshire governor campaigns for Haley ahead of must-win primary
Nikki Haley is spending the final moments before New Hampshire’s make-or-break primary getting out the vote with the state’s popular Republican governor, Chris Sununu by her side.
“This is it. Twenty-four hours to go,” Sununu told the crowd at a packed, dimly lit veteran’s hall in Franklin. “All the momentum is at Nikki Haley’s back.”
He told the voters not to pay any mind to the polls – unless it’s the ones showing Haley trouncing Joe Biden in a general election – and reminded them of their fiercely guarded reputation as the state that delivers political upsets.
“We always buck the trend in New Hampshire,” he said. “It’s going to start tomorrow.”
Haley reminded voters of the stakes of tomorrow’s primary – not that they needed any reminding, since some say they’ve received upwards of 10 campaign mailers a day in recent weeks, in addition to the political ads flooding the airwaves.
“Don’t complain about what happens in a general election if you don’t play in this primary tomorrow,” she charged. “It matters.”
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Just about every time she speaks these days, Elise Stefanik reminds everybody how badly she wants to be Donald Trump’s vice-presidential pick.
Today’s example is the New York Republican congresswoman calling the adjournment in Trump’s defamation trial in New York City today “blatant election interference” because it could mean the former president has to testify tomorrow, the day of the New Hampshire primary.
In reality, the postponement was agreed to by Trump’s attorney, who has also requested his testimony take place Wednesday, to accommodate for the primary:
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Trump maintains big lead over Haley in New Hampshire, poll finds
New Hampshire voters may not give Nikki Haley what she wants on Tuesday, according to a Washington Post-Monmouth University poll released today that finds her trailing Donald Trump in the state by 18 percentage points.
Trump is the clear frontrunner, with 52% support, compared to Haley’s 34%. Ron DeSantis polled at 8% in the survey completed before he withdrew from the presidential race.
The Post notes that Haley’s support has doubled from November, largely due to her attracting voters that supported former New Jersey governor Chris Christie, who exited the race earlier this month.
The survey offers a snapshot of the types of voters who are supporting Trump and Haley, with 71% of the former South Carolina governor’s supporters believing Joe Biden won the 2020 election fairly, and 48% registered with neither party. Forty-nine percent say abortion should be legal in all or most cases, and 56% described themselves as moderate or liberal.
Among Trump voters, only 14% believe Biden won fairly, 38% were not registered with a party, 29% said they were moderate or liberal and 38% thought abortion should be legal in all or most cases.
Judy Sheindlin – Judge Judy to you – is famous for weighing on things, and she recently reached her own verdict on this year’s presidential race: Nikki Haley is the best candidate for the job.
She campaigned with the former South Carolina governor in New Hampshire yesterday, urging voters to, “bring her home on Tuesday”. Sheindlin’s political allegiances have shifted over the years, and in 2020, she endorsed former New York mayor Michael Bloomberg for the Democratic presidential nomination.
We’ll find out soon enough if her verdict on Haley is enough to push her over the top in New Hampshire. If it is not, Sheindlin does not seem ready to campaign for Joe Biden – she went on CNN to say that she thinks he is too old:
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With Ron DeSantis’s exit, former South Carolina governor Nikki Haley has the two-person race she wants in New Hampshire, the state she has bet her campaign on. But will it be enough to beat Donald Trump on Tuesday? The Guardian’s Lauren Gambino took a look at Haley’s pitch to voters, and if it’s working:
Plodding across frigid New Hampshire ahead of Tuesday’s primary, Nikki Haley offered the state’s proudly freethinking voters a tantalizing proposal: choose her and save America from the presidential rematch seemingly nobody wants.
“Seventy percent of Americans have said they don’t want to see a Donald Trump-Joe Biden rematch,” Haley exclaimed on Sunday, drawing head nods and murmurs of agreement from attendees packed into a middle school library in Derry. Haley leaned in: “Do we really want to have two presidential candidates in their 80s?”
Biden, the 81-year-old Democratic president, is coasting to his party’s nomination and Trump, the 77-year-old former president, is marching toward the Republican one as the field narrows and he consolidates support from across the party. But Haley, who celebrated her 52nd birthday hopscotching the state on Saturday, insisted there was a different – viable – path.
Haley, the former “Tea Party governor” of South Carolina who served as Trump’s first United Nations ambassador, has staked her presidential aspirations on a strong showing in the first-in-the-nation primary.
“New Hampshire is do-or-die for Nikki Haley,” said Mike Dennehy, a veteran Republican strategist in New Hampshire who worked on John McCain’s winning presidential primary campaigns in the state in 2000 and 2008 and is unaffiliated. “She needs to go all in and speak specifically to independent voters who want change in this country.”
Judge postpones Trump defamation trial till Tuesday
Change of plans for Donald Trump: today’s hearing in New York City of the defamation lawsuit brought against him by author E Jean Carroll has been postponed till Tuesday after a juror felt ill, and an attorney for the former president said one of her parents had been exposed to Covid-19.
Trump was expected to testify today, but that will now also take place another time. Follow our live blog for the latest on this story:
Joe Biden won’t be on the ballot in New Hampshire, but two long-shot Democratic candidates will be, while opponents of Israel’s invasion of Gaza are encouraging voters to write in “ceasefire” as a show of protest. Here’s more from the Guardian’s Adam Gabbatt on some of the lesser-known aspects of the state’s primary tomorrow:
While Donald Trump and Nikki Haley might draw focus, a shadow presidential primary is taking place in New Hampshire, where Joe Biden could stumble at the first hurdle of his bid to run for president again in 2024 following an internal Democratic party feud.
As a consequence of the party scrap, Biden’s name will not even appear on the ballot in the Granite state on Tuesday. While the president remains the favorite to win his party’s overall nomination, his absence here has opened a window for Dean Phillips, a Democratic congressman from Minnesota, and Marianne Williamson, an author and self-help guru who ran for president in 2020, to mount longshot presidential bids.
The pair have spent weeks campaigning in the state, pitching different visions for the future. Phillips, 55, has touted his reputation as a centrist; his record of working with Republicans to get things done; and the fact that he is 26 years younger than Biden.
Williamson, who withdrew from the 2020 race before the Iowa caucuses, is selling more of a deviation from the current administration. A progressive, she would introduce free college tuition, declare a climate emergency and Department of Peace which would be tasked with avoiding war abroad and tackling white supremacy at home.
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There are reportedly some shenanigans happening in New Hampshire ahead of Tuesday’s primary, though what they amount to is unclear.
NBC News reports that Granite state residents are getting robocalls from a fake voice that sounds like Joe Biden and encourages them not to vote tomorrow. The president’s name is not appearing on the ballot in New Hampshire, after the Democratic National Committee opted to make South Carolina the first state in its nominating process.
However supporters of the president are encouraging people to write in Biden’s name on their ballots, as a way to show their support and try to win back the state’s spot in the nominating process. In previous years, New Hampshire was the second state to vote after Iowa for Democrats.
The robocalls concluded by giving people the phone number for Kathy Sullivan, a former state Democratic party chair who is supporting the write-in campaign. She believes the calls’ intention is to hurt Biden, NBC News reports, and that they are illegal.
“I want them to be prosecuted to the fullest extent possible because this is an attack on democracy,” she told NBC. “I’m not going to let it go. I want to know who’s paying for it? Who knew about it? Who benefits?”
Money, endorsements, poll numbers: Ron DeSantis had it all, and then he lost it. Was it taken from him by the 800lb gorilla of the Republican party Donald Trump, or did he cause his own downfall? The Guardian’s David Smith untangles the question, and finds that it’s a little bit of both:
It began in a glitch-filled disaster on Twitter. It ended with a misattributed quotation on X. Just like Elon Musk’s social media platform, efforts to rebrand Ron DeSantis’s US presidential election campaign could not mask its fundamental flaws.
When in May the Florida governor announced his run during a chat with Musk on Twitter Spaces, the platform’s audio streaming feature, there were technical breakdowns that drew comparisons with one of Musk’s space rockets blowing up on the launchpad.
Eight months, dozens of staff departures, tens of millions of dollars and one crushing defeat in Iowa later, DeSantis announced he was dropping out in a video posted on the renamed X that quoted Winston Churchill as saying: “Success is not final, failure is not fatal – it is the courage to continue that counts.” According to the International Churchill Society, the British wartime prime minister never said that.
Two days before the New Hampshire primary election, DeSantis’s humiliation was complete. “This is probably the biggest collapse of a presidential campaign in modern American history, if not all American history,” David Jolly, a former Republican congressman from Florida, told the MSNBC network on Sunday. “Ron DeSantis had everything going for him.”
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DeSantis's exit winnows Republican race down to just two candidates
It was only a few weeks ago that Republicans looking for an alternative to Donald Trump had a veritable cornucopia of big-league politicians to choose from. But, with the exception of Nikki Haley, all of them have dropped out, and yesterday, a big name announced his exit: Ron DeSantis, the Florida governor who once seemed like the best bet to unseat Trump from the helm of the Republican party.
His downfall was a mediocre second-place showing in Iowa last Monday, despite pouring everything his campaign had into winning the first state to vote in the GOP nomination process. There was clearly not backup plan for DeSantis, and yesterday, he announced his exit from the race with a video posted on X that included a fabricated Winston Churchill quote.
In it, the Florida governor takes one last jab at Trump, who has spent the past months pummeling him with insults, most notably the nickname “Ron DeSanctimonious”. DeSantis nonetheless endorsed Trump as he exited the race, and later on Sunday, the former president said the nickname was being retired. Here’s what DeSantis had to say:
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Haley scrambles to overtake Trump ahead of Tuesday’s must-win New Hampshire primary vote
Good morning, US politics live blog readers. We are coming to you today from Manchester, New Hampshire, the state where former South Carolina governor Nikki Haley is making what may well be her last stand to seize the Republican presidential nomination from Donald Trump. The race winnowed down to two main candidates yesterday, when Florida governor Ron DeSantis dropped out after his disappointing second-place finish in last week’s Iowa caucus. Haley has staked it all on winning in New Hampshire, which will vote in primaries tomorrow, and today, she has five publicly announced campaign events on her schedule. Trump, meanwhile, has one speech planned for 9pm eastern time, and may reportedly spend today testifying to the New York City jury hearing the defamation lawsuit brought against him by author E Jean Carroll.
Trump has functioned as a juggernaut in the race for the GOP nomination for more than a year, with polls showing him the frontrunner among Republicans both nationally and in most early voting states, New Hampshire included. While Haley has seen some momentum in polling recently, the gap between her and the former president remains significant. In a survey from the University of New Hampshire released by CNN yesterday, she’s running 11 percentage points behind Trump, who is polling at 50%. It’s quite the deficit to make up, and we expect to hear her give her closing arguments throughout the course of today.
Here’s what else is going on:
Today is the 51st anniversary of Roe v Wade, the supreme court decision that allowed abortion nationwide, which was overturned by conservative justices in 2022. Kamala Harris is traveling to Wisconsin for a speech to mark the start of what the Biden administration is calling its “Fight for Reproductive Freedoms” tour.
Senators have for weeks been negotiating a deal to tighten immigration restrictions in order to win the GOP’s support for aid to Israel and Ukraine. If an agreement has been reached, it could theoretically be announced today.
Democrats making a quixotic effort to unseat Joe Biden as the party’s presidential nominee will also be campaigning in New Hampshire today, including Minnesota congressman Dean Phillips and Marianne Williamson.