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The Guardian - UK
The Guardian - UK
Politics
Amy Sedghi (now) and Hamish Mackay (earlier)

Nigel Farage trying to destroy Tory party, says David Cameron – as it happened

David Cameron spoke to the Times about the rise of Reform UK.
David Cameron spoke to the Times about the rise of Reform UK. Photograph: Tayfun Salcı/ZUMA Press Wire/REX/Shutterstock

Summary of the day …

We will be wrapping up this live blog soon. Thank you for joining and for your comments. You can follow all our general election 2024 coverage here.

Here is a summary of events from this Saturday:

  • In an interview with the Times, the foreign secretary, David Cameron, said that Nigel Farage is trying to destroy the Conservatives and criticised his “inflammatory language” on migration. “I think with these populists what you get is inflammatory language and hopeless policy,” Cameron told the Times. He also warned that a vote for Reform or any other party would make “Britain less safe”.

  • In the Times interview, Cameron said that being prime minister was a “good apprenticeship” for serving as foreign secretary and he still thinks the Tories can win the election.

  • Keir Starmer has ruled out imposing capital gains tax on the sale of people’s homes and said it was “desperate” tactics from the Tories to suggest that he would. The Labour leader said he could “absolutely” guarantee that would not happen. Starmer told reporters on a visit to a hospital in Worksop, Nottinghamshire, on Saturday: “There was never a policy so it doesn’t need ruling out, but let’s rule it out in case anybody pretends that it was.”

  • Voters will choose who the leader of the opposition is, not Reform UK leader Nigel Farage, Starmer said. The Labour leader told the press: “Well, I don’t think it’s for Nigel Farage to declare himself leader of the opposition. I’m actually leader to the opposition just at the moment. I’m hoping to change that.”

  • Starmer said a Labour government would take “tough” decisions to drive through plans for new homes. He was responding to questions about Labour candidate Marsha de Cordova’s opposition to a development in the Battersea constituency where she is standing for re-election. While planning rules would be changed, Starmer said Labour would “listen to local communities” who had concerns about infrastructure. But, he added, “we have to build those homes and we are going to take tough decisions in order to fix that”.

  • Conservative leadership hopefuls are already lobbying for support to take over from Rishi Sunak amid widespread fears the party is heading for a disastrous defeat on 4 July, the Guardian has learned. The early favourites for leader include former secretaries of state Priti Patel, Suella Braverman, Robert Jenrick, Kemi Badenoch, Penny Mordaunt and Grant Shapps. Several of those, however, are fighting to retain their seats, leaving their contention highly uncertain.

  • Rishi Sunak has committed to staying on as an MP for the full five-year term if the Conservative party loses the general election. Speaking to journalists in Puglia, Italy, where he is attending the G7 summit, the prime minister said he intended to serve a full parliamentary term regardless of the overall result on 4 July.

  • Three out of five people in the UK back spending more on the NHS even if it means their personal taxes would increase, a poll has found. Pollster Ipsos found 61% of people would accept higher personal taxes if it meant the next chancellor put more money into the NHS, with only 16% saying they wanted tax cuts even if it meant less money for the NHS.

  • Labour candidate Rosie Duffield has announced she has withdrawn from hustings events due to safety concerns. In a statement posted on X, Duffield said she had made “the extremely difficult decision not to attend local hustings events during this general election campaign”. She said a “few fixated individuals” had now made her attendance at husting events “impossible”.

  • Labour’s deputy leader Angela Rayner has said her party’s manifesto offer for working people is not “timid” and will “transform working people’s lives for the better”. She was campaigning in West Lothian on Saturday with Scottish Labour leader Anas Sarwar, meeting parents at the Broxburn Family and Community Development centre. Rayner also emphasised her party’s message on economic growth, saying confidence in the UK had been undermined by the “chaos of the Conservatives and the SNP”.

  • Away from the UK election, Rishi Sunak attended the trooping the colour in London on Saturday and then flew to Switzerland to join the Ukraine peace summit. World leaders – not including Vladimir Putin – are attempting to envision a path to peace in Europe at the summit.

  • The number of children attending private schools in England has risen, new figures show, despite claims that families are being priced out by Labour’s plan to add VAT to school fees. The Independent Schools Council (ISC) said last month that pupil numbers had fallen – a sign, they said, that schools were already starting to see “the impact of VAT looming on the horizon”. But official Department for Education (DfE) data published last week shows that as of this January, the number of pupils in independent schools in England was 593,486, up from 591,954 the year before and an increase of 24,150 on 2020/21.

  • A Labour candidate runs a lobbying firm that represents the organisation battling Keir Starmer’s flagship private schools policy, the Observer has revealed. Kevin Craig, Labour’s candidate for Central Suffolk and North Ipswich, is the founder and chief executive of lobbying firm Political Lobbying and Media Relations (PLMR). Craig told the Observer that PLMR “has given hundreds of thousands of pounds to charities over the years” and works on campaigns for major charities, including Cancer Research UK.

  • Anti-abortion campaigners are running as independent candidates in the general election against prominent MPs seeking re-election who supported decriminalisation. The seats of Labour’s Diana Johnson and Stella Creasy and Conservative Caroline Nokes are all being targeted by anti-abortion activists.

  • Shadow work and pensions secretary Liz Kendall defended Labour’s claim that NHS waiting lists could rise to 10 million despite the Institute for Fiscal Studies saying that was “highly unlikely”. She told Sky News it was a “reasonable assumption” that was based on what had already happened under the Conservatives and “if the trend continues in the future, as it has done in the past, that’s what we’re likely to see”.

  • Jeremy Corbyn is to warn the Labour party that more austerity and privatisation is “not the answer” to the NHS crisis, reported the PA news agency. The former Labour leader will tell a rally on Saturday in Islington North, where he is standing as an independent, that the party’s manifesto failed to rule out cuts to the NHS. Corbyn will accuse the government of showing “contempt” for NHS staff, who have been on strike over pay.

  • Veterans minister Johnny Mercer acknowledged the Tory campaign had been “up and down” but warned voters against giving Labour “unchecked” power. In a message to would-be supporters of Nigel Farage’s Reform UK he said: “If you vote for Reform, you’re going to get a Labour government, you’ll get unchecked power from a Labour government to come in and change the face of this country into something that I don’t believe it is, I don’t think it is a left-wing country.”

  • Texts reportedly sent from the phone of a Conservative Senedd member, appearing to ask a member of staff to inflate her expenses claims, have been seen by BBC Wales. South Wales police had received information from the Senedd Commissioner for Standards, which remains under investigation, the force said. The Guardian has not seen the messages, other than the screenshots published by the broadcaster.

  • The Scottish Conservatives have criticised the SNP’s opposition to Trident, the UK’s nuclear deterrent. Deputy leader Meghan Gallacher highlighted a report from the GMB union which said thousands of jobs depended on the Faslane base – 6,500 military and civilian staff at the base and 4,000 in the supply chain and local economy.

Jeremy Corbyn is to warn the Labour party that more austerity and privatisation is “not the answer” to the NHS crisis, reports the PA news agency.

The former Labour leader will tell a rally on Saturday in Islington North, where he is standing as an independent, that the party’s manifesto failed to rule out cuts to the NHS.

According to the news agency’s report, Corbyn is expected to say: “Voters of Islington North need to know that if they want an MP that will stand up for a publicly run NHS then they have to vote for me as an independent, not Labour, on 4 July. Unlike Labour and the Tories, I do not believe the expansion of the private sector is the answer to the NHS crisis.”

The PA news agency also says that Corbyn will accuse the government of showing “contempt” for NHS staff, who have been on strike over pay, adding: “Our NHS is nothing without the cleaners, doctors, nurses, ambulance drivers and reception staff that keep it running.”

Keir Starmer has ruled out imposing capital gains tax on the sale of people’s homes and said it was “desperate” tactics from the Tories to suggest that he would.

The Labour leader said he could “absolutely” guarantee that would not happen.

While Labour has explicitly ruled out increasing the rates of income tax, VAT and national insurance, it has largely responded to questions about its wider tax policy by saying there were “no plans” in the manifesto that required tax rises beyond those set out in the document.

The Tories have claimed that Labour is planning a series of secret tax raids, including the possibility of making the sale of a primary residence liable for capital gains tax.

Starmer told reporters on a visit to a hospital in Worksop, Nottinghamshire, on Saturday: “This was just a desperate story by the Tories in relation to capital gains tax on primary residences.”

He added: “There was never a policy so it doesn’t need ruling out, but let’s rule it out in case anybody pretends that it was.”

His comments come after Fraser Nelson, the editor of the Spectator , criticised the Conservatives, accusing them of believing they have a “licence to lie” in election campaigns.

Labour candidate’s PR firm lobbied against plan for VAT for private schools

A Labour candidate runs a lobbying firm that represents the organisation battling Keir Starmer’s flagship private schools policy, the Observer can reveal.

Kevin Craig, Labour’s candidate for Central Suffolk and North Ipswich, is the founder and chief executive of lobbying firm Political Lobbying and Media Relations (PLMR).

One of its current clients is the Independent Schools Council (ISC), an industry trade body for private schools, which has been campaigning against Labour’s plans to charge VAT on school fees and end the sector’s discount on business rates.

The policy is estimated to raise £1.5bn, which the party says will help fund its plans for the state education sector, including the recruitment of 6,500 new teachers.

Since the policy was first announced, the ISC has been campaigning heavily in the press against the proposal, arguing that it would lead to an exodus of private school pupils into the state sector. The argument has since been used as an attack line on Labour by the Conservatives.

The lobbying firm promises on its website to help its clients reach “government departments in Whitehall, government arm-length bodies, or the UK parliament” and to deliver “valuable exposure” in the media for their messaging.

Craig told the Observer that he believed “strongly in Labour’s stance on education on being both pro-parent choice and pro-better standards for all children and I always have done”.

He added that PLMR “has given hundreds of thousands of pounds to charities over the years” and works on campaigns for major charities, including Cancer Research UK.

The Scottish Conservatives have criticised the SNP’s opposition to Trident, the UK’s nuclear deterrent.

Deputy leader Meghan Gallacher is visiting Helensburgh in Argyll and Bute on Saturday, near the Faslane naval base which is home to the UK’s submarine fleet.

According to the PA news agency, she highlighted a report from the GMB union which said thousands of jobs depended on the Faslane base – 6,500 military and civilian staff at the base and 4,000 in the supply chain and local economy.

Gallacher said the stance of the SNP, along with other politicans who oppose Trident, puts the UK’s national security at risk. She said:

The Scottish Conservatives are the only party truly committed to retaining our nuclear deterrent – along with the 11,000 jobs it supports in and around Faslane.

Global security is as fragile today as it has been in decades, given Russia’s appalling invasion of Ukraine and the deepening conflict in the Middle East.

Now, more than ever, we require the security of a nuclear deterrent and yet the SNP recklessly oppose Trident while many in Scottish Labour and in Keir Starmer’s frontbench team – including his deputy, Angela Rayner – share their hostility.

They would happily put our national security at risk and threaten livelihoods in Helensburgh and beyond.”

She added: “Constituents in Argyll, Bute and South Lochaber know that only our superb local candidate, Amanda Hampsey, will stand up for those whose jobs depend on Faslane.”

Tory Senedd member under investigation over alleged inflated expenses claims

Texts reportedly sent from the phone of a Conservative Senedd member, appearing to ask a member of staff to inflate her expenses claims, have been seen by BBC Wales.

South Wales police had received information from the Senedd Commissioner for Standards, which remains under investigation, the force said.

The BBC published screenshot messages, including one allegedly sent by Laura Anne Jones to a staff member, reading: “When doing petrol thing – always make more than I did – add in stuff please ok.”

When the staff member asks, “Like visits to constituency office?”, a response says: “Yes – stuff like that.”

Lawyers acting on behalf of Jones said: “Ms Jones is satisfied that any allegations in relation to impropriety surrounding expenses are entirely misconceived.”

BBC Wales reported that it had seen WhatsApp messages sent to a member of staff in response to them asking whether to make expenses claims for days when Jones was off sick. There was no direct response to that, but the screenshot appears to show a chart of proposed expenses sent by the staff member to the politician’s phone.

A reply from Jones’s phone said: “If you could always do more than it says, that’d be fab, thanks.”

Amid the investigation, the leader of the Welsh Conservatives, Andrew RT Davies, said: “I have asked Laura Anne Jones to step back from the Welsh Conservative shadow cabinet while investigations take place.

“We will not be making any comments on any active investigations being carried out.”

BBC Wales said it was unable to verify the context in which the messages were sent, or whether her messages represented the entire conversations between the people involved. The Guardian has not seen the messages, other than the screenshots published by the broadcaster.

Labour’s deputy leader Angela Rayner has said her party’s manifesto offer for working people is not “timid” and will “transform working people’s lives for the better”.

She was campaigning in West Lothian on Saturday with Scottish Labour leader Anas Sarwar, meeting parents at the Broxburn Family and Community Development centre.

Labour says tens of thousands of young people in Scotland will benefit from its policies to increase the living wage for those over 18 and scrap the lower minimum wage bands for workers aged between 18 and 20.

The SNP has repeatedly accused Labour and the Conservatives of offering austerity, claiming both parties are refusing to level with people that £18bn of spending cuts are required.

Speaking to journalists, Sarwar said:

There will be no austerity under a Labour government and John Swinney can do all the scaremongering he likes, that’s not going to happen.

We’ve always been clear, this [manifesto] is our first steps for change, a key part of what we’ll be able to achieve is if we get our economy growing again, that’s why economic growth is front and centre.”

He said the SNP and Conservatives had made “big, massive promises” which they had failed to deliver on.

The PA news agency reports that Rayner also emphasised her party’s message on economic growth, saying confidence in the UK had been undermined by the “chaos of the Conservatives and the SNP”.

She said:

We can’t tax our way out of this problem, the Tories have shown us what high tax and unfunded commitments have made to our economy, working people have paid the price.

My new deal for working people is not timid, no one’s ever called me timid in my life.

I come from a trade union background, I know that will transform working people’s lives for the better.

Those 40,000 more appointments in the NHS a week, bringing down the waiting lists, that will change people’s lives, who are currently waiting years.”

She said Labour are “fixing the foundations after the SNP and the Tories have smashed them to pieces”.

A spokesperson for the Scottish Conservatives said: “Labour and the SNP are intent on putting tax up for young people and everyone across Scotland. Their plans to hike tax on working Scots would damage our economy and put jobs at risk.”

Updated

Keir Starmer says voters will choose the leader of the opposition, not Farage

Voters will choose who the leader of the opposition is, not Reform UK leader Nigel Farage, Keir Starmer has said.

The Labour leader told the press:

Well, I don’t think it’s for Nigel Farage to declare himself leader of the opposition. I’m actually leader to the opposition just at the moment. I’m hoping to change that.

But, look, my focus is on talking to the voters directly, that’s why I’m out and about every day, because it’s their concerns and, at the end of the day, this is a contest.

But it is a choice between five more years of Conservative government after the failure of last 14 years, or turning a page and a Labour government will rebuild the country.

There are only two candidates for prime minister, Rishi Sunak and myself.”

Number of private school pupils rises despite claims families priced out by Labour’s VAT plan

The number of children attending private schools in England has risen, new figures show, despite claims that families are being priced out by Labour’s plan to add VAT to school fees.

The Independent Schools Council (ISC) said last month that pupil numbers had fallen – a sign, they said, that schools were already starting to see “the impact of VAT looming on the horizon”.

But official Department for Education (DfE) data published last week shows that as of this January, the number of pupils in independent schools in England was 593,486, up from 591,954 the year before and an increase of 24,150 on 2020/21.

The ISC has also blamed two recent private school closures on Labour’s policy. However, the official school census data shows that 12 new independent schools opened in the last year, with the total rising from 2,409 to 2,421.

Private schools in England currently benefit from an 80% discount on business rates, and do not have to charge VAT on school fees. Closing the tax loopholes was pledged in the 2019 Labour manifesto. Keir Starmer renewed that promise in 2021 and again last week at the launch of the Labour party manifesto.

Labour says the £1.5bn raised from imposing 20% VAT and business rates will be used to provide 6,500 teachers in secondary schools. Teacher supply in state schools is in a critical state, according to the National Foundation for Educational Research, with the government failing to hit its own recruitment targets for years. The secondary subject shortfall this year was 50%.

My colleague, Daniel Boffey, has spoken to by those who know Nigel Farage.

Boffey wrotes that while some say have good things to say about the Reform UK leader, it is striking how many enemies he has made, even among those close to him politically.

You can read the full piece here:

Keir Starmer categorically rules out imposing capital gains tax on sale of homes

Keir Starmer has categorically ruled out imposing capital gains tax on the sale of people’s homes, saying it was “desperate” tactics from the Tories to suggest he would.

The Labour leader said he could “absolutely” guarantee that would not happen.
“There was never a policy so it doesn’t need ruling out, but let’s rule it out in case anybody pretends that it was,” he said.

Labour had explicitly ruled out increasing the rates of income tax, VAT and national insurance. But it has largely responded to questions about its wider tax policy by saying there were “no plans” in the manifesto that required tax hikes beyond those set out in the document.

This has led the Tories to claim that Labour is planning a series of secret tax raids, including the possibility of making the sale of a primary residence liable for capital gains tax.

The PA news agency reports that Starmer told reporters on a visit to a hospital in Worksop: “This was just a desperate story by the Tories in relation to capital gains tax on primary residences.”

He insisted he was not being cautious about responding to Tory attacks over tax. Starmer said:

The reason for that is I reject the idea that the only levers a prime minister has to pull are either the tax lever or the spend lever.

There’s growth – this has been the missing part for the last 14 years, it has been the missing part of this general election campaign, frankly, a discussion about growth.

Our manifesto is a manifesto for growth and a serious plan for growth.”

Updated

Keir Starmer has said a Labour government would take “tough” decisions to drive through plans for new homes.

He was responding to questions about Labour candidate Marsha de Cordova’s opposition to a development in the Battersea constituency where she is standing for re-election.

According to the PA news agency, Starmer said:

We have a clearly costed plan for building 1.5m homes over the course of the next parliament if we are elected into government.

I know how important it is for people to own their own home, to have that first place. That will require tough decisions.”

While planning rules would be changed, Starmer said Labour would “listen to local communities” who had concerns about infrastructure. But, he added, “we have to build those homes and we are going to take tough decisions in order to fix that”.

Updated

Anti-abortion campaigners running against MPs who back decriminalisation

Anti-abortion campaigners are running as independent candidates in the general election against prominent MPs seeking re-election who supported decriminalisation.

The seats of Labour’s Diana Johnson and Stella Creasy and Conservative Caroline Nokes are all being targeted by anti-abortion activists. The three proposed or supported recent amendments to the Criminal Justice Bill which would have stopped prosecutions for anyone ending a pregnancy in England and Wales.

The vote was described by abortion provider British Pregnancy Advice Service (BPAS) as “the biggest on abortion rights in a generation”, but it never went ahead as the general election was called and parliament was dissolved.

Creasy is being challenged in Walthamstow by Ruth Rawlins from the Centre for Bio-Ethical Reform UK (CBRUK), a group which also launched a #StopStella campaign in 2019 after the MP successfully led a vote for abortion rights in Northern Ireland. At the time, Creasy said she had contacted police after being targeted by anti-abortion protesters in her constituency.

Creasy told the Observer she would want a police presence at local hustings if Rawlins were to participate.

She said:

In a democracy, candidates must be able to put themselves forward for office and for scrutiny without fear of harm. That principle covers us all, and I have made it clear to hustings organisers that I am happy to participate alongside those who hold anti-abortion views,

It’s sad but necessary, given the history of intimidating and threatening behaviour from the CBRUK, that a police presence would be required for them to take part in such a debate.

Updated

Away from the UK election, Rishi Sunak is at the Ukraine peace summit in Switzerland.

World leaders – not including Vladimir Putin – are attempting to envision a path to peace in Europe. You can follow the latest from that summit in our other live blog:

Three out of five people in the UK back spending more on the NHS even if it means their personal taxes would increase, a poll has found.

Pollster Ipsos found 61% of people would accept higher personal taxes if it meant the next chancellor put more money into the NHS, with only 16% saying they wanted tax cuts even if it meant less money for the NHS.

Tax has been one of the key issues of the election, with the Conservatives pledging to cut taxes and claiming Labour’s plans would see taxes rise to their highest level ever.

Meanwhile, Labour has promised not to raise income tax, national insurance or VAT and said it wants to see taxes on “working people” come down.

But the Ipsos poll, published on Saturday, suggests there is some appetite for raising taxes to fund public services.

On public services more broadly, some 40% said they would accept higher taxes if it meant more funding, up slightly from 38% in February.

Some 27% of people said they wanted to see tax cuts even if it meant less spending on public services, down from 33% four months ago.

Out on the campaign trail today, Labour are focusing on the NHS.

Leader Sir Keir Starmer has toured a hospital in Nottinghamshire with shadow health secretary Wes Streeting.

And on Sky News, shadow work and pensions secretary Liz Kendall has defended Labour’s claim that NHS waiting lists could rise to 10 million despite the Institute for Fiscal Studies saying that was “highly unlikely”.

Responding to the criticism, Kendall said:

We’re saying that if there’s another five years of the Conservatives, you could see 10 million people waiting in pain or feeling they have to try and pay to go private to deal with their problem.

She said it was a “reasonable assumption” that was based on what had already happened under the Conservatives and “if the trend continues in the future, as it has done in the past, that’s what we’re likely to see”.

The Tories have dismissed the Labour attack as “scaremongering”.

Updated

David Cameron has said that being prime minister was a “good apprenticeship” for serving as foreign secretary, in an interview with the Times.

Speaking about his decision to take the role, Cameron said he had told his family he was “going to really go for this job and give it everything I had”. In just over six months, Cameron said he had visited 35 countries as foreign secretary.

He told the Times:

I really like having the focus. That juggling act, as prime minister, is incredibly difficult. You have to do so many different things and different topics. I loved the challenge of it, but it does mean you’re always frustrated.”

Cameron also criticised Labour’s election strategy, telling the Times:

When I look at Starmer I think he’s sitting there with his fingers crossed to please, please, please let them pass judgment on Lettucegate, three prime ministers and all the rest of it.

According to the Times, while Cameron accepted it would require the biggest comeback in modern political history for Labour to win, he still thinks the Tories have a chance:

I think we can win this election. Even when I was ahead in the polls in 2010, or somewhere behind in the polls in 2015, I used to say ‘can win’ rather than ‘will’ because it’s up to the public, it’s up to the country.”

As Nigel Farage swaggered into a Chelsea townhouse on Wednesday night for the biggest Donald Trump fundraiser this side of the Atlantic, he was ebullient about the night ahead. “It’s a Holly party – you can guarantee it’s going to be enormous fun,” he told reporters.

The Holly in question, the former actor and pop star Holly Valance, has rapidly risen to become radical-right royalty.

Valance, 41, and her property tycoon husband, Nick Candy, 51, are increasingly influential in British and American politics. The couple’s recent social life reads like a Who’s Who of the populist right. They have stayed with Donald Trump at his Mar-a-Lago resort, attended Liz Truss’s “PopCon” convention for rightwing conservatives and made frequent visits with close friends Boris and Carrie Johnson.

Valance is credited with encouraging Farage to stand for MP and said she had been “whispering in his ear for a long time”.

British audiences were first introduced to Valance as a teenager when she played the right-on schoolgirl Felicity “Flick” Scully in the Australian soap opera Neighbours. The character’s friends thought she would end up working for Amnesty and she was said to be “too busy saving the world to have hobbies”.

Valance’s politics are a little different. At PopCon in February, she told GB News: “Everyone starts off as a lefty and then wakes up at some point” and realises “what crap ideas they all are”. In the same interview, she said of Jacob Rees-Mogg: “Jacob for PM.”

You can read more on this story by Ben Quinn and Emily Dugan here:

Updated

The Guardian’s senior political correspondent, Peter Walker, has put together a very handy guide to what each party promises voters in its UK general election manifesto.

You can see how Labour, the Conservatives, Lib Dems, Greens and Plaid Cymru compare on key issues, such as health, economy, environment, education, immigration, housing and policing, here:

David Cameron says Nigel Farage is 'trying to destroy' Tory party

In an interview with the Times, the foreign secretary, David Cameron, has said that Nigel Farage is trying to destroy the Conservatives and has criticised his “inflammatory language” on migration.

Cameron told the Times:

He [Farage] is currently trying to destroy the Conservative party by standing for Reform. I want to be as sure as we can that we get no Reform members of parliament and the Conservative party can move forward.”

In the interview, published on Friday, Cameron objected to Farage’s “inflammatory” rhetoric on migration. While immigration is an “important issue”, Cameron said the Conservatives don’t want the “incredibly divisive” approach Farage brings to the topic.

“I think with these populists what you get is inflammatory language and hopeless policy,” Cameron told the Times. He also warned that a vote for Reform or any other party would make “Britain less safe”.

Cameron said:

I see these twin issues of security and prosperity as absolutely key to this election. And I think only the Conservatives have got the sort of plan and the team and the leadership to properly tackle them. Voting for anything else, I think, will make Britain less safe.”

Questioned by the Times about comments Farage had made that Rishi Sunak “doesn’t understand our culture”, Cameron responded: “You don’t have to watch sheepdog trials to hear a dog whistle.”

Labour's Rosie Duffield withdraws from hustings due to safety concerns

Labour candidate Rosie Duffield has announced she has withdrawn from hustings events due to safety concerns.

In a statement posted on X, Duffield said she had made “the extremely difficult decision not to attend local hustings events during this general election campaign”. She said a “few fixated individuals” had now made her attendance at husting events “impossible”.

Duffield, who hopes to be re-elected in the Canterbury constituency, blamed “constant trolling, spite and misrepresentation from certain people”, which she said was “being pursued with a new vigour during this election”.

Duffield said the trolling has been affecting her sense of security and wellbeing.

In the statement, Duffield said that although she had withdrawn from local hustings events, she would still be holding “several secure local events” in the coming weeks so that constituents could put their questions to her.

Updated

Shadow work and pensions secretary Liz Kendall has defended Labour’s claim that NHS waiting lists could rise to 10 million despite a thinktank saying that was “highly unlikely”.

The Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS) economist Max Warner has said that Labour’s claim that NHS waiting lists would hit 10 million under the Conservatives was “highly unlikely” and their manifesto “provides no detail about the overall funding the NHS will receive in the next parliament”.

Responding to the IFS’ criticism, Kendall told Sky News:

We’re saying that if there’s another five years of the Conservatives, you could see 10 million people waiting in pain or feeling they have to try and pay to go private to deal with their problem.”

She said it was a “reasonable assumption” that was based on what had already happened under the Conservatives and “if the trend continues in the future, as it has done in the past, that’s what we’re likely to see”. The Tories have dismissed the Labour attack as “scaremongering”.

Rishi Sunak pledges to serve as MP for full term if Tory party loses election

Rishi Sunak has committed to staying on as an MP for the full five-year term if the Conservative party loses the general election.

Speaking to journalists in Puglia, Italy, where he is attending the G7 summit, the prime minister said he intended to serve a full parliamentary term regardless of the overall result on 4 July.

Asked whether he would stay in the Commons for the next five years as prime minister if the Tory party won, or as an opposition MP if it lost, Sunak said: “Yes and yes.”

The Conservatives are languishing 20 points behind Labour in opinion polls and are widely expected to lose the election in less than three weeks’ time.

Despite his repeated and frustrated denials, there has been speculation in Westminster that Sunak will leave politics if the Conservatives lose, and move with his family to California. He met his wife, Akshata Murty, at Stanford University and the couple still own an apartment in Santa Monica.

Last month, Sunak said the claims were “simply not true”, after Zac Goldsmith, a Tory peer and ally of Boris Johnson, claimed he would “disappear off to California” if he lost.

Updated

Veterans minister Johnny Mercer acknowledged the Tory campaign had been “up and down” but warned voters against giving Labour “unchecked” power, reports the PA news agency.

On Sky News he said:

This election is tough, right? And it was always going to be tough after 14 years in power, and clearly the campaign’s been up and down as well.

But I don’t see those polls reflected on the doorsteps. I think people are focusing in and as we get closer to that election, they’re really starting to see that clear choice, if you like, between [Keir] Starmer, who every time he goes on TV just refuses to rule out serious things like capital gains tax, like he did last night, and Conservatives, who are dealing with a tricky situation, but actually if you look at the manifesto, there’s a real bold plan there.”

In a message to would-be supporters of Nigel Farage’s Reform UK he said:

If you vote for Reform, you’re going to get a Labour government, you’ll get unchecked power from a Labour government to come in and change the face of this country into something that I don’t believe it is, I don’t think it is a left-wing country.”

Tory leadership hopefuls ‘already lobbying’ to replace Sunak

Conservative leadership hopefuls are already lobbying for support to take over from Rishi Sunak amid widespread fears the party is heading for a disastrous defeat on 4 July, the Guardian has learned.

The manoeuvring comes as one poll put the Conservatives behind Reform UK for the first time, on 18%; a position that would lead to a historic wipeout for the Tories at next month’s election.

The Reform UK leader, Nigel Farage, claimed on Friday the poll showed he was now in effect the leader of the opposition, though that job is likely to fall to one of up to a dozen senior Conservatives after the election.

The early favourites for leader include former secretaries of state Priti Patel, Suella Braverman, Robert Jenrick, Kemi Badenoch, Penny Mordaunt and Grant Shapps. Several of those, however, are fighting to retain their seats, leaving their contention highly uncertain.

One Tory adviser said: “There is quite a bit of manoeuvring going on already. Members of the cabinet are texting candidates regularly just to ‘check in’, while others are already lining up their leadership teams.”

They added: “It can be quite annoying – sometimes you wish they would focus more on the general election campaign.”

A senior party member said: “There is a sense now that a Labour victory is inevitable. We went into the campaign hoping for a hung parliament, but now the central assumption is we are trying to minimise their majority.”

You can read the full piece by Kiran Stacey and Rowena Mason here:

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Opening summary

Good morning, and welcome to our continued coverage of the 2024 general election campaign.

Rishi Sunak has committed to staying on as an MP for the full five-year term if the Conservative party loses the general election.

Speaking to journalists in Puglia, Italy, where he was attending the G7 summit, the prime minister said he intended to serve a full parliamentary term regardless of the overall result on 4 July.

Meanwhile, Tory leadership hopefuls are already lobbying for support to take over from Sunak, the Guardian has learned.

With three weeks to go before the general election, candidates and advisers had begun lining up behind their preferred contenders, sources said, with some Tory campaigners complaining they were being inundated with messages from potential leaders.

The manoeuvring comes as one poll put the Conservatives behind Reform UK for the first time, on 18%; a position that would lead to a historic wipeout for the Tories at next month’s election.

In other news, here are some of the events we can expect politicians to be attending today, according to the PA news agency:

  • Prime minister Rishi Sunak will be attending the trooping the colour to celebrate the official birthday of King Charles.

  • Later in the day Sunak will be jetting off as he is billed to attend a Ukraine peace summit at a lakeside resort in Switzerland. He will be joined by the foreign secretary, David Cameron, at the event that will be hosted by Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelenskiy.

  • Labour leader Keir Stamer will join shadow health secretary Wes Streeting, in the East Midlands to discuss Labour’s plans to clear the NHS backlog, with 40,000 extra appointments a week at evenings and weekends.

  • Liberal Democrat leader Ed Davey will be on the campaign trail in Surrey as he continues his party efforts to chip away at the “blue wall”, a collection of typically safe Conservative seats in southern England. Davey has pledged to scrap elected police and crime commissioners (PCC) to unlock money which he says could bolster frontline policing.

  • Scottish Labour leader Anas Sarwar and deputy Labour leader Angela Rayner will be on campaign visit in Livingston.

  • Deputy Scottish Conservative leader Meghan Gallacher will be joined by the party’s candidate for the Argyll, Bute and South Lochaber seat, Amanda Hampsey, on the campaign trail today. They will be showing their support for the UK’s nuclear deterrent.

  • Deputy first minister Kate Forbes will be on the campaign trail with the SNP candidate for Hamilton and Clyde Valley, Ross Clark. Forbes will join the local candidate at DFDS Logistics in Larkhall.

It is Amy Sedghi here today. If you want to get my attention then please do email me on amy.sedghi@theguardian.com. I will take a look at comments below the line (BTL) but won’t be able to read them all, so the quickest way to point out any error or omissions is to email me.

Also, please note that comments will not be open on the blog until 10am.

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