The recent surge of the far right in France during the European Parliament elections has led to unexpected political developments. French President Emmanuel Macron has called for snap legislative elections in response to his party's defeat and the rise of Marine Le Pen's National Rally.
Macron hopes to rally voters to contain the far right in upcoming national elections, fearing the possibility of a far-right government for the first time since World War II. This move poses a challenge as Macron would have to work with a prime minister from a party that opposes most of his policies.
Reasons Behind the Move
The National Rally, led by Jordan Bardella, is projected to win the most French seats in the European Parliament, reflecting a successful rebranding campaign to appeal to moderate voters. Macron's party, Renaissance, trails behind with less than 15% of the vote.
Macron's Decision
Macron called for elections to prevent legislative paralysis and demonstrate responsiveness to voters. The risk lies in a divided left and the normalization of the National Rally, making it a formidable opposition force.
Challenges Ahead
The upcoming general elections may see a surge in support for the far right, posing a challenge to mainstream parties. Calls for left-wing unity to counter the far right may not be sufficient to prevent their rise to power.
Le Pen's Ascent
Marine Le Pen's National Rally is poised for a strong showing in the elections, with Bardella leading the party's charge. Le Pen's party has gained mainstream acceptance, positioning them as a significant political force.
Future Scenarios
If a new party or coalition secures a majority in the general elections, Macron may face a situation of 'cohabitation,' where domestic policies diverge from his agenda. This could lead to governance challenges in France.
