Philadelphia and Baltimore are separated by 100.6 miles of Interstate 95, but if this ESPN simulator is correct, both teams will reunite in Las Vegas for a February showdown.
Analytics expert Seth Walder used ESPN‘s Football Power Index (FPI) to simulate the season 20,000 times.
Buy Eagles TicketsUsing simulation No. 3,818, Philadelphia overcomes a 2-6 start to reach the Super Bowl, where they meet the AFC North, Ravens.
The FPI had the Eagles as Super Bowl favorites entering the season, but with just a 14% chance to win it all. That means 86% of the simulations had someone else winning the Super Bowl. What do those 86% look like? We’ll never know. Because a year after coming so close to beating the Chiefs for the Lombardi Trophy, the Eagles came back and finished the job.
But it was hardly straightforward.
Eight weeks into the season, the Eagles were 2-6, looking at a season on the brink. Star players battling injuries dampened the offense, cornerbacks Darius Slay and James Bradberry weren’t playing at the elite level they did in 2022 and the new starters at off-ball linebacker weren’t cutting it. Even the “Tush Push” stopped working.
The simulator has Dallas earning the No. 2 overall pick, while the Panthers and Commanders reach the postseason with first-year starters.
