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Daily Mirror
Daily Mirror
Joe Smith

Coronation weather forecast - will the sun shine or is King Charles' big day set to be a washout?

All eyes will be on London on May 6, when King Charles III's Coronation takes place as Westminster Abbey.

And while thousands are expected to descend on the capital, people around the UK and Commonwealth are already planning their street parties. But what's the one thing that can ruin the perfect outdoor celebration? The British weather being too British.

While the big day is still more than two weeks away, the Met Office is already looking ahead to the first week of May.

And for that three-day weekend, its experts have predicted the UK's weather could be "unsettled". However, forecasters added they were confident there is a "greater chance of settled weather" over the next few weeks.

Looking at the Met Office's long range weather forecast for the UK, it predicts sunnier days are on the way, but there is a chance it could take a turn.

It comes after bookies Coral slashed the odds from 2-1 to 5-4 on this month breaking UK records for April heat.

Revellers sit under decorations during a sunny street party to celebrate the Queen's Diamond Jubilee in Edinburgh (AFP via Getty Images)

The betting firm makes it 1-2 for 2023 to be the hottest year ever, and 4-5 for the highest temperature of 40.3C being broken this summer.

While the weather will differ around the UK, the main focus will be on London, with huge crowds set to line the route of the the ceremonial processions before and after the Coronation service at Westminster Abbey. More are due to descend on the city's parks to watch events on specially erected big screens.

Hundreds of thousands are expected to flock to the capital with extra rail services laid on by train companies over the Coronation weekend.

The government guidance for those wishing to witness the processions tells visitors to bring: “suitable clothing for the weather conditions. You may want to bring warm, protective clothing or an umbrella in cold or wet weather, or sunscreen and a hat if it is likely to be sunny.” Not very helpful.

The Met office are slightly less vague in their predictions. Their latest long range weather forecast calls for: “A mixture of settled and unsettled spells are expected throughout the period.

“Most frequent rain more likely in the south at first, but through the period this will move to more western and northwestern areas. There is a lower than usual likelihood of significant windy conditions.

“Temperatures likely to trend upwards through the period, with above average temperatures more likely than below average temperatures during early and mid-May.”

It's a historical day for King Charles and Queen Camilla (POOL/AFP via Getty Images)
A street party in Kensington during the Queen's Diamond Jubilee celebration (Getty Images)

Not exactly a firm prediction, and with the ceremony still weeks away, who can blame forecasters for being a little vague. Perhaps a look at historical temperatures can give us a better idea of what to expect.

Looking back at MET Office weather records for the first weekend of May over the last 12 years, the picture is hopeful.

All but two of the weekends recorded showed little-to-no rainfall, with only 2011 and 2014 showing 8.4mm and 8.2mm of rain over the weekend respectively.

That being said, in typical spring fashion the temperatures for those dates varies widely, from highs of 26.8C in 2018 to a chilly 10.5C in 2012.

So, fingers crossed the trend continues and we’re blessed with a dry, warm, sunny bank holiday weekend.

But even if the weather Gods don’t smile on us, not to worry. Queen Elizabeth’s Coronation was a famously soggy affair but she went on to enjoy a long and successful reign all the same.

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