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Reuters
Reuters
Politics
By Tim Reid and Gabriella Borter

Republicans, Democrats in tight race for control of U.S. Congress

Republican Ohio U.S. Senate candidate J.D. Vance arrives with his wife Usha to declare victory at his 2022 U.S. midterm elections night party in Columbus, Ohio, November 8, 2022. REUTERS/Gaelen Morse

Control of Congress was up for grabs after Tuesday's U.S. midterm elections with many of the most competitive races uncalled, leaving it unclear whether Republicans would seize control from President Joe Biden's Democrats.

In a bright spot for Democrats, NBC News and Fox News projected John Fetterman won a critical U.S. Senate seat in Pennsylvania, beating Republican celebrity doctor Mehmet Oz and bolstering his party's chances of holding the chamber.

Diane Robertson, a supporter of Cheri Beasley, the Democratic candidate for North Carolina's U.S. Senate seat, watches the voting results come in during the 2022 U.S. midterm elections in Raleigh, North Carolina, November 8, 2022. REUTERS/Jonathan Drake

The mood at the White House improved as the night went on, with once-nervous aides allowing smiles to creep on their faces and saying early signs for Democrats were better than expected.

In the House of Representatives, Republicans had been favored to win a majority that would allow them to halt Biden's legislative agenda. By early Wednesday, the party had flipped four Democratic House seats, Edison Research projected, one short of the number they need to take over the chamber.

That number could change. Only 12 of the 53 most competitive races, based on a Reuters analysis of the leading nonpartisan forecasters, had been decided, raising the prospect that the final outcome may not be known for some time. Democrats were projected as the winners in 10 of those 12 contests.

New York Governor Kathy Hochul celebrates at her U.S. midterm election night party after winning re-election in New York, November 8. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid

The Senate was still a toss-up, with pivotal battles in Arizona, Georgia and Nevada still in play.

The Georgia Senate race could end up in a Dec. 6 runoff, possibly with Senate control at stake. Democrats currently control the 50-50 Senate with Vice President Kamala Harris able to break any ties.

Early results suggested Democrats would avoid the type of wipeout election that some in the party had feared, given Biden's sagging approval rating and voter frustration over inflation.

Republican candidate for Arizona Governor Kari Lake reacts as she speaks at the Republican Party of Arizona's 2022 U.S. midterm elections night rally in Scottsdale, Arizona, November 8, 2022. REUTERS/Brian Snyder

"Definitely not a Republican wave, that's for darn sure," Republican U.S. Senator Lindsey Graham told NBC in an interview. He held out hope that the party would take a majority in the Senate: "I think we're going to be at 51, 52, when it's all said and done."

Even a narrow Republican majority in the House would be able to block Biden's priorities while launching politically damaging investigations into his administration and family.

Thirty-five Senate seats and three dozen governors' races were also on the ballot. Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, a leading contender for the Republican presidential nomination in 2024, defeated Democratic Representative Charlie Crist, Edison projected.

Cheri Beasley, the Democratic candidate for North Carolina's U.S. Senate seat, reacts to her supporters after she lost to her Republican opponent Ted Budd during the U.S. midterm elections in Raleigh, North Carolina, U.S., November 8, 2022. REUTERS/Jonathan Drake

More than 46 million Americans voted ahead of Election Day, either by mail or in person, according to data from the U.S. Election Project, and state election officials caution that counting those ballots will take time.

(Live election results from around the country are here.)

High inflation and abortion rights were voters' top concerns, with about three in ten voters picking one or the other as their top concern, exit polls showed. Crime, a major focus in Republican messaging in the campaign's final weeks, was the top issue for just about one in ten voters.

Supporters react as they watch news of projected victory for Democratic candidate for Governor Pennsylvania Attorney General Josh Shapiro at a 2022 U.S. midterm election night party for Democratic U.S. Senate candidate John Fetterman, in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, November 8, 2022. REUTERS/Quinn Gablicki

COMPETITIVE DISTRICTS

Both parties notched victories in competitive districts.

In Virginia's 2nd congressional district, Democratic U.S. Representative Elaine Luria lost to Republican challenger Jennifer Kiggans in a district Biden carried by two points. But in the state's 7th district, which Biden won in 2020 by 7 percentage points, Representative Abigail Spanberger held off a Republican challenger.

Lake Ogleton is reflected in the window as voters cast their ballots in midterm elections at the Bay Ridge Civic Association, in Annapolis, Maryland, U.S., November 8, 2022. REUTERS/Mary F. Calvert

Local officials reported isolated problems across the country, including a paper shortage in a Pennsylvania county. In Maricopa County, Arizona - a key battleground - a judge rejected a Republican request to extend voting hours after some tabulation machines malfunctioned.

The problems stoked evidence-free claims among Trump and his supporters that the failures were deliberate.

Scores of Republican candidates have echoed Trump's false claims that his 2020 loss to Biden was due to widespread fraud. In Pennsylvania, Republican gubernatorial candidate Doug Mastriano, who sought to overturn the state's election results after Trump lost, was defeated by Democrat Josh Shapiro.

Faith and Freedom Coalition founder Ralph Reed instructs attendees at Georgia Republican candidate for U.S. Senate Herschel Walker's 2022 U.S. midterm election night party that the party is over at the end of the night in a ballroom at the Omni Hotel in Atlanta, Georgia, U.S. November 9, 2022. REUTERS/Jonathan Ernst

In New Hampshire, Democratic Senator Maggie Hassan prevailed over Republican Don Bolduc, a retired general who also backed Trump's baseless assertions, in a race that Republicans had once viewed as a top opportunity.

In swing states such as Arizona, Michigan and Nevada, the Republican nominees to head up the states' election apparatus have embraced Trump's falsehoods, raising fears among Democrats that, if they prevail, they could interfere with the 2024 presidential race.

"They deny that the last election was legitimate," Biden said on a radio show aimed at Black voters. "They're not sure they're going to accept the results unless they win."

Rev. Raphael Warnock, Democratic Senator from Georgia, speaks to students at Atlanta University during a midterm election campaign event in Atlanta, Georgia, U.S., November 8, 2022. REUTERS/Bob Strong

Trump, who cast his ballot in Florida, has frequently hinted at a third presidential run. He said on Monday that he would make a "big announcement" on Nov. 15.

ECONOMIC WORRIES

The party that occupies the White House almost always loses seats in midterm elections, and Democrats hoped the Supreme Court's June decision to overturn the nationwide right to abortion would help them defy that history.

Republican Senate candidate Dr. Mehmet Oz speaks to members of the media after voting in the 2022 U.S. midterm election in Bryn Athyn, Pennsylvania, U.S., November 8, 2022. REUTERS/Hannah Beier

But stubbornly high annual inflation, which at 8.2% stands at the highest rate in 40 years, has weighed on their chances throughout the campaign.

"The economy is terrible. I blame the current administration for that," said Bethany Hadelman, who said she voted for Republican candidates in Alpharetta, Georgia.

A Reuters/Ipsos poll this week found just 39% of Americans approved of the way Biden has done his job. Some Democratic candidates deliberately distanced themselves from the White House as Biden's popularity languished.

Alex Erby fills out his ballot while voting at a polling station inside the Grace Bible Fellowship Church during the 2022 U.S. midterm election in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania, U.S., November 8, 2022. REUTERS/Mike Segar

Trump's polling is similarly low, with just 41% of respondents to a separate recent Reuters/Ipsos poll saying they viewed him favorably.

In Congress, a Republican-controlled House would be able to thwart Democratic priorities such as abortion rights and climate change, while a Republican Senate would hold sway over Biden's judicial nominations, including any Supreme Court vacancy.

Republicans could also initiate a showdown over the country's debt ceiling, which could shake financial markets.

Former U.S. President Donald Trump and his wife Melania walk outside a polling station during midterm election in Palm Beach, Florida, U.S. November 8, 2022. REUTERS/Ricardo Arduengo

Republicans will have the power to block aid to Ukraine if they win back control of Congress, but analysts say they are more likely to slow or pare back the flow of defense and economic assistance.

(Reporting by Joseph Ax, Jason Lange, Doina Chiacu, Susan Heavey, Moira Warburton, Gram Slattery and Trevor Hunnicutt in Washington, Gabriella Borter in Birmingham, Michigan, Nathan Layne in Alpharetta, Georgia, Masha Tsvetkova in New York, Tim Reid in Phoenix and Ned Parker in Reno, Nevada; Writing by Joseph Ax and Andy Sullivan; Editing by Scott Malone, Alistair Bell, Daniel Wallis and Howard Goller)

Republican candidate for Michigan Governor Tudor Dixon arrives with her children to cast her vote in the midterm elections in Norton Shores, Grand Rapids, Michigan, U.S., November 8, 2022. REUTERS/Dieu-Nalio Chery
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