The Minnesota Vikings traded for Detroit Lions tight end T.J. Hockenson on Tuesday before the trade deadline.
In the trade, the Vikings received Hockenson, a 2023 fourth-round pick and a 2024 conditional fourth-round pick in exchange for a 2023 second-round pick and a 2024 third-round pick.
When the trade was announced, the conditions on the 2024 fourth-round pick were unknown. They were announced less than two hours after the trade by ESPN’s Adam Schefter.
Compensation update: The 2024 conditional fourth-round pick that Detroit sent to Minnesota today as part of the T.J. Hockenson trade will become a 2024 fifth-round round pick if the Vikings win a playoff game, per source. https://t.co/Eff5UdDzgv
— Adam Schefter (@AdamSchefter) November 1, 2022
These conditions are relatively fair in principle, and it is exemplified by the Rich Hill trade chart. According to the chart, the Vikings gave up the equivalent of the 69th overall pick for Hockenson, which is a tremendous deal for the young start.
Rich Hill Trade Chart points*:
MN gets: Hockenson, 2023 R4 (38 points), 2024 R4 (32)
DET gets: 2023 R2 (91), 2024 R3 (50)
*2024 estimates
Vikes relinquish 71 points.
Upshot: Vikes acquired Hockenson for equivalent of No. 69 overall pick.
Steal for exactly what they needed.
— Thor Nystrom (@thorku) November 1, 2022
If the condition is met, the value is less for the Vikings, but winning a playoff game is an objectively good thing, so it’s relatively meaningless at that point. Essentially, if Hockenson is anything close to what we think he will be, the Vikings outright won the trade.
