A recent Poll of Polls analysis reveals a tight race for the presidency in the crucial states of Arizona and Pennsylvania. The data shows Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump neck and neck in terms of support among likely voters.
In Arizona, Trump maintains a slight lead with an average of 50% support compared to Harris' 47%. A specific poll released on Thursday further solidifies Trump's position in the state, showing him ahead with 51% to Harris' 48% among likely voters, with a margin of sampling error of 3.3 percentage points. Interestingly, the Democrats seem to be performing better in downballot races, with Democrat Rep. Ruben Gallego leading Republican Kari Lake by a margin of 54% to 45% among likely voters in the Arizona Senate race.
Turning to Pennsylvania, the Poll of Polls average indicates a close contest, with Harris garnering 48% support among likely voters, while Trump is close behind at 46%. A recent UMass Lowell/YouGov poll conducted earlier this month in Pennsylvania shows a dead heat between the two candidates, with Harris at 46% and Trump at 45% among likely voters.
These findings underscore the competitive nature of the upcoming presidential election, highlighting the importance of these key battleground states in determining the outcome. Both candidates will likely intensify their efforts to sway undecided voters and solidify their support base in the run-up to the election.
