The re-election of Donald Trump for a second term as president and the Republican takeover of the U.S. Senate could potentially reverse many of the national climate policies that have been effective in reducing greenhouse gas emissions, according to climate experts. Some of the key measures at risk align with policies Trump has indicated he will target.
The Inflation Reduction Act
This landmark climate law is projected to cut U.S. emissions by about 40% by 2030. It incentivizes clean energy initiatives such as solar and wind farms, geothermal energy development, carbon capture and storage, and electric vehicle adoption through tax credits. Trump's energy policy, in contrast, focuses on boosting fossil fuel production and ending wind power subsidies included in the 2022 climate law.
Pollution from Electric Power Plants
The main U.S. rule aimed at reducing carbon emissions from coal-fired power plants faces vulnerability under a Trump administration. This rule mandates coal plants to capture 90% of their carbon emissions or shut down within eight years, but legal challenges and lack of support from the Justice Department could jeopardize its survival.
Limiting Methane Leaks
The Biden administration introduced national rules to curb methane leaks from oil and gas equipment, a significant contributor to climate change. However, industry groups and Republican-leaning states have contested these rules in court, questioning their feasibility.
Fuel-Efficient Vehicles
The EPA's stringent rules on tailpipe emissions from vehicles under the Biden administration may face repeal and replacement efforts under Trump. Despite Trump's skepticism towards electric vehicles, the industry expects a pushback against the transition to cleaner transportation.
Drilling in Alaska Refuge
Trump is likely to reinstate drilling in Alaska's Arctic National Wildlife Refuge, a move opposed by Democrats in the past. The transition to cleaner energy and transportation, however, is expected to continue at the state and local levels, driven by bipartisan support and commitments to net zero emissions.
Conclusion
While Trump's stance on climate change policies raises concerns, advocates for clean energy remain optimistic about the ongoing shift towards sustainable practices. States, cities, utilities, and businesses are committed to driving climate solutions and advancing clean energy initiatives, regardless of federal leadership.
