Chris Sutton feels Chelsea will sneak past Nottingham Forest on New Year's Day as the BBC pundit insists the Reds' hopes of staying up rests on their home form.
Steve Cooper's side welcome the Blues to the City Ground on Sunday (4.30pm kick-off) as they look to bounce back from their 3-0 defeat at Manchester United.
Forest are in the bottom three heading into the clash against Graham Potter's side, but hope they can survive the drop after promotion from the Championship last season.
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Former Blackburn Rovers hero Sutton believes Cooper's side will have to rely on the City Ground to help them achieve their ambitions.
Predicting a 2-1 win for Chelsea, he said: "Chelsea got a much-needed win over Bournemouth last time out, and they deserved it too.
"Nottingham Forest huffed and puffed a bit against Manchester United without ever really looking like they would get anything out of the game.
"Chelsea's biggest issue this season has been scoring, but Forest have got bigger problems in that department and they don't have enough of a threat up front.
"It feels like Forest's hopes of staying up rest on their home form, because they are so poor away, but I can't see them picking up any points this time. I'm going for a narrow Chelsea win."
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