In the final week of Betting the NFL Line, we give you eight of the 12 bets available on the moneyline, Against the Spread and the Over/Under. Why only eight? The recommendation on moneyline bets is to pass on the too onerous an investment vs. return suggestion and the other will be self-evident for its current stupidity.
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook
Houston Texans (+375) at Kansas City Chiefs (-500)
The Chiefs are 8.5-point favorites (-110 for both teams). These teams met in Kansas City in Week 16, and the Chiefs at no point in the game had a lead big enough to cover this spread. That was then. This is now. The Chiefs are rested. It’s going to be cold (projection: 26°F). Take the Chiefs and lay 8.5 points (-110).
The Over/Under is low (41.5 points at -115 Over, -105 Under). There are too many scenarios that lead to Over. The Texans get an early lead. The Chiefs put the hammer down early. They go back and forth. All signs point to too many points being scored – even at garbage time, if necessary – to hit Over. Take Over 41.5 points (-115).
Washington Commanders (+400) at Detroit Lions (-550)
The Lions are huge home favorites (9.5 points at -110 for both teams). In October, Baltimore couldn’t beat the Commanders by this number. In November, Philadelphia at home couldn’t do it – and subsequently was beaten by Washington five weeks later. The Lions have a lot to prove, but 9.5 is asking a lot of things to go right. Take the Commanders plus 9.5 points (-110).
The Over/Under is obscenely high (55.5 points at -105 Over, -115 Under). This number likely requires seven touchdowns and help. There’s a reason it is this high, but too many things could go wrong to keep this number Under. If you bet the Over and win, you may have to wait 59 minutes to cash out. Take Under 55.5 points (-115).
Los Angeles Rams (+225) at Philadelphia Eagles (-275)
The Eagles are solid home favorites (6 points at -110 for both). Another warm-weather team heading east. The Eagles have figured out how to grind teams down and score late (152 points in the fourth quarter). Even if the Rams stay close, the fourth quarter does them in. Take the Eagles and lay 6 points (-110).
The Over/Under is pretty low (44 points at -105 Over, -115 Under). There is every reason to think this score could surpass that number, but the Eagles have allowed 13 or fewer points in four of their last five games. The Rams offense can be limited, and Philadelphia won’t take it easy on them. Saquon Barkley may run 30 times. Take Under 44 points (-115).
Baltimore Ravens (-120) at Buffalo Bills (+100)
The Ravens are favored (1 point at -110 for both teams). On the moneyline, the Ravens are -120, which makes no sense. There can’t be a tie in a playoff game, so betting the moneyline if taking Baltimore is ridiculous. Take the Ravens and lay 1 point (-110).
This O/U is big (51.5 points at -110 for both). Given both offenses’ ability to put up big numbers, this should be the highest number on the board. Lamar Jackson and Josh Allen are going to make their case for MVP. Take Over 51.5 points (-110).