Asian shares were mostly higher Wednesday, as investors watched for key inflation data likely to influence the Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates.
Japan's benchmark Nikkei 225 rose 0.7% in afternoon trading to 28,109.17. Australia's S&P/ASX 200 added 0.5% to 7,343.10. South Korea's Kospi edged less than 1 point higher to 2,548.02.
Hong Kong's Hang Seng index lost 0.6% to 20,360.50 and the Shanghai Composite index added 0.3% to 3,322.70.
“Broader markets remain laser-focused on this week’s critical inflation data as market participants attempt to tease out the state of the economy and the course the Fed might take from here,” Stephen Innes, managing partner at SPI Asset Management, said in a report.
On Wall Street, the S&P 500 had its smallest one-day move in more than a year, slipping 0.17 points, or less than 0.1%, to 4,108.94. Most of the stocks in the index rose, as did the Dow Jones Industrial Average, which gained 0.3% to 33,684.79. The Nasdaq composite slipped 0.4% to 12,031.88.
The biggest immediate question for Wall Street has been whether the Federal Reserve will keep hiking interest rates in its attempt to get high inflation under control. It’s already raised rates at a furious pace over the last year, enough to slow some areas of the economy and for strains to appear in the banking system.
Economists expect Wednesday’s report on consumer inflation to show it slowed to 5.2% in March from 6% in February. That's continued progress since inflation peaked last summer, but still well above the Fed’s target.
A higher reading than expected would likely raise expectations the Fed will raise rates by another quarter of a percentage point at its next meeting in May. Higher rates can undercut inflation, but in slowing the economy they raise the risk of a recession and hurt prices for stocks and other investments.
Bond traders have been jittery over the Fed possibly going too far on rates and then having to cut them as soon as this summer in order to prop up the economy. The stock market has remained more resilient, helped by hopes the Fed could thread the needle and raise rates just enough to stifle inflation without causing a severe downturn.
Still-high inflation is one of the reasons analysts expect this upcoming earnings reporting season to show the worst drop since the depths of the pandemic in 2020. A bunch of banks will help kick off the earnings reporting season when they tell investors on Friday how much they earned during the first three months of the year.
Investors will get updates on what CEOs say about current and upcoming conditions. One fear is that banks in particular could pull back on their lending following all the turmoil in their sector, caused in part by the past year’s swift leap in interest rates.
If they do cut off lending to businesses, that could further slow the economy and raise the risk of a recession.
Big Tech stocks were also weak. They and other high-growth stocks are seen as the most hurt by rising interest rates, and a 2.3% drop for Microsoft was the heaviest drag on the S&P 500.
In energy trading, benchmark U.S. crude gained 11 cents to $81.64 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. It advanced $1.79 per barrel to $81.53 per barrel. Brent crude, the international standard, added 13 cents to $85.74 a barrel.
In currency trading, the U.S. dollar rose to 133.80 Japanese yen from 133.70. The euro cost $1.0934, up from $1.0912.
