A fresh sell-off hit Asian equities on Wednesday as concerns over a stronger dollar and rising global interest rates added to pressure on capital flows.
The MSCI Asia Pacific Index dropped as much as 1.8% to its lowest since May 2020 as most sectors were in the red. Tech shares led declines, given the sector’s sensitivity to higher borrowing costs and the global economy. Benchmarks in Taiwan, Hong Kong and South Korea fell the most, with the former two edging toward a 2% slide.
The “strong dollar is never good news for Asian markets,” Sanford C. Bernstein strategists including Rupal Agarwal wrote in a note late Tuesday. “It tends to increase the cost of foreign debt, results in higher capital outflows and puts pressure on central banks to maintain the attractiveness of their exports and the yield spreads.”
Regional currencies were under pressure, with the Korean won at its lowest in more than 13 years, the Philippine peso dropping past 57 per dollar for the first time and the Malaysian ringgit falling to a 24-year low. Such rapid depreciation can further damp appetite for Asian assets.
By contrast, Chinese equities held up relatively well. The CSI 300 Index was little changed as chipmakers advanced after President Xi Jinping called for a stronger effort to advance key technologies. Still, the nation’s Covid-19 lockdowns continue to expand, keeping a cap on equity gains.
A risk-off mood is taking hold ahead of Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s speech on Thursday, as well as a line-up of other Fed speakers at various events this week. Investors expect Powell to signal a continued aggressive tightening cycle after the August ISM services index unexpectedly rose to a four-month high. Bond yields soared across tenors and a dollar gauge climbed for a third session to a fresh high.
Global funds have net sold about $507 million worth of emerging Asia excluding China shares this week, adding to the $2.4 billion in outflows seen last week, according to latest data compiled by Bloomberg. Taiwan has accounted for much of the outflows, with geopolitical tensions and worries about the semiconductor cycle causing net redemptions of $41 billion in 2022.
Valuations for MSCI’s Asia gauge continue to crawl toward a pandemic low. The measure is trading at about 12 times forward earnings -- inching closer to the 10.6 multiple seen in March 2020.
Asia “is a difficult story” right now, said Steen Jakobsen, chief investment officer at Saxo Bank. “We see relatively weak growth on the consumer side in China, and relatively weak stories across” except for certain sectors such as energy, commodities and defence, he added.
