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Robert Bondy

Analytics, Data picks Minnesota to narrowly beat MSU on Saturday

Minnesota (Organization) Michigan State Bill Connelly Michigan

The computers think Michigan State will drop their sixth straight game this week.

Bill Connelly of ESPN is the mastermind behind SP+ — which uses play-by-play data to evaluate teams on five factors that Connelly identified as being highly correlated with winning: efficiency, explosiveness, field position, finishing drives, and turnovers. According to Connelly, SP+ likes Minnesota to beat Michigan State on Saturday by the score of 25-19. Michigan State has a 38 percent chance of pulling the upset, according to SP+.

Michigan State enters this game with losses in each of their last five games and a record of 2-5 overall. Minnesota is 4-3 overall and coming off an upset road victory over Iowa this past weekend.

Check out the complete breakdown of SP+ picks for Week 9 below:

WEEK 9 SP+ PICKS

Oregon 31, Utah 25
OU 36, Kansas 27
UGA 34, Florida 20
Louisville 26, Duke 24
Vols 26, UK 25
Buckeyes 28, Badgers 19
UCLA 38, Colorado 19
Ore St 33, Arizona 29

29 of 54 (54%) are within 2 pts of the line, 38 within 3 (70%). Guh.https://t.co/fjsWyQPXfP pic.twitter.com/X5fr6ZXsIJ

— Bill Connelly (@ESPN_BillC) October 22, 2023

Contact/Follow us @The SpartansWire on Twitter, and like our page on Facebook to follow ongoing coverage of Michigan state news, notes, and opinion. You can also follow Robert Bondy on Twitter @RobertBondy5.

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